First Draft for a New Book:
H. Sapiens 2.0: Designing Our Immortal
Successors © 2015
Last updated on Sunday, May 4, 2014; 7:15 PM PDT
Art work on the cover... Leonardo da Vinci's Man in a Circle, holding DNA in his right
hand and a synthetic chromosome in his left hand
Title: H. sapiens 2.0: Designing Our Immortal Successors
Subtitle: Achieving Biological Immortality in Our Life Times
Inside Flap: What is this book about? ~250 words
Publisher's Page: © 2015
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Preface
Introduction
Chapter 1: Genesis Revised (Done; see the GRG website for Chapter 1; move references to
Appendix A.1)
Chapter 2: History of Human Science and Technology
Ref.: Timothy Ferris, The Big Idea: How Breakthroughs of the Past Shaped the
Future (National Geographic Publishers, Washington, D.C.; 2014).
Chapter 3: Project Immortality (August 1961) (Done: ~ 40 pages in storage unit G15 in Fontana,
CA among 240 boxes of books; it must be scanned in page-by-page. This document
was typed on an electric typewriter, and the font must be preserved [long before there
were PC's or the Internet] to validate its original date of origin. It was classified
"Restricted to Core" [a very small group of people, and all readers were required to
sign the cover page of their copy and return it later] but it has now been declassified.)
3.1 Biological Interventions (45 percent effort)
3.2 Bionics (45 percent effort)
3.3 Social Implications (10 percent effort)
3.3.1 The cost of intervening in aging will be prohibitive (except for the rich)
3.3.2 The population will explode if nobody dies (myth)
3.3.3 A world with a stable population but without young children or old folks
(everybody appears to be between [20 and 30] yo) will be very different than the
one we know and love today
Chapter 4: What Have We Learned about Aging Thus Far?
4.1 Aging, its clinical signs and symptoms, as revealed in human civilization or in zoos (not in
the wild) is the net effect of two antagonistic forces: (1) Growth/Reproduction; and (2)
Entropy; consistent with an open system subject to the Second Law of Thermodynamics
4.2 Human Life-History Diagrams (based on 18 parameters in a triple-linear spline function)
4.3 The biology of Supercentenarians: GRG Table E and Conclusions of 11 Autopsies
4.4 Average Life Expectancy continues to increase monotonically and systematically due to
public health and obstetrical interventions, but Maximum Lifespan continues to remain at
the Guinness Book of World Records Calment Limit (122 yo); we do not expect
this record to be broken in our lifetimes.
4.5 The age of onset of age-related diseases appears to be highly predictable and not
stochastic; explaining why a methylation algorithm predicts chronological age better than
tree rings (dendrochronology)
Chapter 5: What Can We Do about Aging, If Anything?
Quote: "... customizing human stem cells to regenerate a damaged, old, or sick body ...
rejuvenating worn-out muscles, and so on." - - J. Craig Venter, Ph.D. at the bottom of p. 158 of
his latest book, Life at the Speed of Light: From the Double Helix to the Dawn of Digital
Life (Viking, New York; 2013); however, at UCLA on February 30, 2014 during a one-hour
talk, he was silent on this matter except to say that stem-cell lines have been shown to be filled
with mutations and they won't be good for therapy as they stand today.
5.1 We can't do anything about the weak force of entropy; that lives everywhere in
the universe, and there's no escape from the laws of physics; but we could do something
about the strong force of growth/fitness by modifying or debugging the
embryogenic/developmental software program distributed within our DNA, so as to keep
the force of entropy at bay, i.e., tilted in favor of fitness
5.2 Monthly infusions of ~1 million pristine autologous iPSC's i iv under medical supervision
without obliterating normal tissue architecture (or creating cancer as part of the therapy)
5.3 Neurodegenerative Diseases (AD, PD, ALS, FTD)
5.3 Facilitating the Bridge Plan leading us to a Technological Singularity (~2038)
Epilogue (Prioritizing Our Efforts with Annual Two-Day Conferences)
At the conferences, we should conduct formal debates one-on-one, but supervised by others, that
would allow us to critique the personal Vision Statement for how you would solve (or cure) the
problem of aging. In particular, a Vision Statement would involve at least four components:
1. A partitioning or decomposition of the problem into separable components that are mutually-excusive but jointly-exhaustive, using the well-known scientific methodology of "recursive reductionism." In engineering jargon, this is referred to as "trouble shooting." In the world of software development, this approach is called "debugging." Note that I was in the room ten years ago when Dr. Aubrey de Grey first announced his own decomposition, called the SENS Plan, which I largely endorse and is no longer as controversial as it once was.
2. A proposed metric that we could use to estimate the distance by which we have not-yet solved the problem. This heuristic is sometimes referred to as "Means/Ends Analysis" or "Hill Climbing" in AI circles. It falls under Cybernetics in Systems Control Theory circles. We would apply the metric recursively to all the subcomponents.
3. A date certain when we can all expect a solution to the problem that will lead to FDA- approved clinical trials to slow and/or reverse human aging and senescence in our lifetimes. This is also the problem of when Ray Kurzweil's Technological Singularity will emerge?
4. A failure of critics to produce persuasive/compelling counter arguments or a full refutation. In legal language, lawyers would say "your case is 'without merit' ... because my client doesn't own a dog." in the case of a dog-biting lawsuit. This must be ascertained by a group of independent reviewers for whom all parties were agreed in advance.
Acknowledgements
Appendices:
A.1 References
A.2 Glossary (See the GRG website)
A.3 Important Scientific Historical Players (see the Resources Section of the GRG website)
A.4 Time Line for Research on Longevity
A4M: Coles, "There is no such thing as anti-aging medicine." (date)
AMMG: We need evidence-based age management medicine (date)
Both organizations are still actively functioning
A.5 Resume for L. Stephen Coles
A.6 Suggested Curriculum for an undergraduate degree in Gerontology
A.7 GRG Speakers and Abstracts [1990 - 2014] (See GRG Meetings Section)
A.8 GRG Discussion Group ~500 people contribute [5 - 10] messages a day seven days a week
A.9 PowerPoint Slides (263 slides formatted six per page, minus the autopsy slides that are only
intended for physician audiences)
A.10 Ten Home Work Problems (with answers) for students
A.11 Updates to Supercentenarian Tables Can Be Found on the GRG.ORG website
A.12 Related websites:
a. SupercentenarianResearchFoundation.org maintained by Stanley Primmer
b. A sister website (with commercial interests): bridgeplan.org maintained by Bobbie Brooke
c. Connectome
Contingency: In the event of my demise due to Stage-IV pancreatic cancer metastasized to the liver, before publication, I authorize James Watson and Steven Harris to obtain an Editor and get it published by a respectable publishing house at their earliest convenience.
DEDICATION
To Natalie, Electra, and Cailyn
PREFACE
It is often said that "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." It is the purpose of this book to provide at least a portion of evidence needed to support the claim that "biological immortality" will become feasible in the lifetimes of many of those now reading this text. The claim that current humans would seek to replace themselves with "immortal equivalents" is certainly an extraordinary claim. To find the evidence needed, we must embrace all of human cultural knowledge to gain the perspective that will make intelligible the flurry of newspaper headlines that we read every day, regarding science, technology, and medicine, that deal with what happened if the last few moments of our history and rarely if ever discuss what could happen but hasn't happened yet. And that's why I have chosen to redefine Genesis, the first chapter of the Hebrew/Christian Bible, as the first chapter of this book. But first, permit me a short explanation about how I came to this conclusion.
In 1967, while I was a graduate student at Carnegie Institute of Technology (soon to become
Carnegie Mellon University [CMU]) in Pittsburgh, PA, my mentor then at the Andrus
Gerontology Center at USC's main campus in Los Angeles, CA, Prof. Bernard L. Strehler, Ph.D.
[19xx - 2000] (he didn't get an M.D. although he started the program at Johns Hopkins in
Baltimore, MD) and author of Time, Cells, and Aging [1] that had just come out in
paperback, advised me "Steve, you have good genes. Why don't you reproduce and create some
progeny for the future?" And so I did, having just gotten married that year. He then advised me
to change my religion from Methodist to Unitarian Universalist. And so I did, since his
arguments were compelling. Strehler and I argued at length about the significant change in tone
in the first chapter of the hard-copy version and the paperback version of his seminal book. The
original was very establishmentarian, while the paper-back version was much more optimistic
regarding the potential for anti-aging interventions. He told me, "Steve, you were the first person
to notice this shift in tone." After that, we became fast friends and I visited him at his home in
the San Fernando Valley and he reciprocated by giving a talk to my AI Group at Stanford
Research Institute in Menlo Park, CA. Finally, he advised, "Stop working on all this Artificial
Intelligence computer stuff (my thesis work on Computational Linguistics under Richard King
Mellon Endowed Chair Professor of Psychology and Computer Science Herbert A. Simon, Ph.D.
[19xx - 19yy], who subsequently went on to win a Nobel Prize in Economics for work he did at
the University of Chicago long before I knew him). I didn't follow Strehler's advice on this one
(at least at that time). What he said was as follows:
There are only two intellectually difficult problems worthy of anyone's attention...
1. How does the brain work? and
2. Why do we get old and die?
This was typical Strehler speaking, both presumptuous and arrogant, given all the other
challenging and interesting problems that one could potentially work on.
For Strehler, the first problem was really "Where in the architecture of the brain could one locate consciousness or personhood?" He went on to build several hardware prototypes of neural networks in his living room in St. Pedro, overlooking the Pacific Ocean that he subsequently patented based on his idea of codon-encryption of transmission of axonal action potentials toward the distal synapses. We will need to do comparative anatomy of different primates to help us solve this problem with a strong focus on Broca's Area (language/speech) and solve the Connectome Problem.
The statement of the second problem should be revised to ask "How?" not "Why?" we get old and die. [We already know the answer to the Why? question... It's because our DNA runs out of things to do once we have fulfilled our Prime Directive to "Go forth and multiply."] Furthermore, to be precise the "How" answer must contain actionable items that suggest interventions/therapies, especially ones that could be tested in our lifetimes. Starting in 1975, when I left SRI and went to medical school, I went to work on, not one, but both of these problems, for the rest of my professional life. I now teach Neurophysiology to graduate students and Gerontology to undergraduates at UCLA.
Both of Strehler's problems are super hard (characterized in DARPA language as "Grand Challenge" problems), even 47 years later. The BRAIN initiative announced by President Obama in his 2013 State of the Union Address will help us make progress on the first problem. But we don't have anything comparable for Problem 2 yet. Our Group is trying as best we can to get the President's attention through the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP). However, we are not authorized to speak more about this until granted permission, given that this a more politically sensitive area for the Executive Branch to spend substantial money on (>$100 million), given the culture we live in. It is likely that some US Congressmen or Senators would object, in principle, to the desirability of even working on this problem, despite the fact that partial success could lead to substantial savings for our health-care budget as demonstrated in a number of new econometric reports that relate the dollar-for-dollar investment to a big multiple return on investment [2].
Finally, there is no reason in principle to believe that neither of the these problems couldn't be solved sooner or later, given that their solutions wouldn't violate the laws of physics, chemistry, or biology.
INTRODUCTION
There is a wide spectrum of opinion among human beings about the desirability of life and death. Regarding life, however, it's well known that pronatalism is the dominant philosophy. The US Government, as well as most other formal governments, provide incentives in the form of income-tax exemptions to create more children, not to mention legislation that promotes the agenda of ProLife (anti-abortion) politics, despite the exponentially exploding human population that contaminates the surface of our planet without any rational basis. I don't believe that there is any biologist who believes that we are currently in danger species' extinction as we once were, say 50 thousand years ago, when "The Force" was not on our side, and we were surrounded by nasty predators who would eat us for lunch if given the slightest opportunity and the potential for warfare with other primates over scarce resources.
Regarding death, the consensus is more mixed. One can distinguish a spectrum
whose poles are represented by the following two quotes:
1. "Death is an imposition on the human race, and is no longer acceptable." - - Alan Harrington
[1918 - 1978] The Immortalist: An Approach to Engineering Man's Divinity
(1969)[3]
2. "The finitude of Life is a blessing, whether we know it or not." - - Prof. Leon Kass, M.D.,
Ph.D., University of Chicago and first Director of President Bush's Biomedical Ethics Council.
(2000)[4]
So where does the average person lie along this spectrum of intervention vs. maintaining the
status quo? The Pew Charitable Trust conducted a poll with a lengthy questionnaire of ["n"]
random people that asked them to help us find out. It turns out that average people have a very
sensible attitude toward death. They typically say, "I don't want to live forever, even if I could."
[x] percent of those polled. That's because every rational person knows that anyone who
manifests symptoms of aging and senescence past the age of 60, no matter what their life style, is
doomed to incur further chronic diseases in an irreversible, combinatorial manner until they
perish from this Earth (sometimes referred to as eternal obliteration, unless of course, as
many of faith would prefer to believe, they wind up in Heaven where they can consult with other
of their relatives who preceded them). Along the way, old folk often suffer increasing frailty and
pain until they die of what are called "natural causes," despite the best medical care that our
society has to offer. And this is true whether you view aging as a natural process or a disease of
its own, for which there is a systematic increase in age-related diseases. This phenomenon is
clearly proportional to chronological age, as all life insurance companies know well. Actuaries
take your age, gender, race, geographical location, and smoking history into account from which
they can calculate your premiums for a 10-year, $100,000 term policy and never fail to make
money for their company without ever having to examine your medial/surgical history or perform
any physical exams or laboratory testing, although many Internet longevity calculator algorithms
require these inputs as though they were important. They may be important for the individual,
but they're not statistically important for the insurance company.
Average life expectancy has been rising monotonically for centuries secondary to the low- hanging fruit of simple public health measures for the separation of water and sewage, but especially in the last century secondary to childhood vaccines, antibiotics, anesthesia for C- sections, car- and home-accident prevention, and blood type and cross-match {A, B, AB, O} for transfusions, as needed. Nevertheless, maximum human lifespan has not advanced one iota following the death of French supercentenarian, Madam Jeanne-Louis Calment who died at the age of 122 back in 1997. In fact, it's not even a "horse race," since nobody has come even close to her Guinness Book of World Records outlier status. And we should know, since the GRG consults for Guinness in the category of Longevity, and we have maintained the list of the oldest living validated people in the world for more than 15 years with help of an international team of 40 collaborators (Table E on the GRG.ORG website) as now recognized by Wikipedia, Associated Press, United Press International, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, the Los Angeles Times, and CNN-TV as the world authority on this topic, due to our rigorous standards for inclusion and our precise method of weeding out pretenders or detecting exaggerated claims. By the way, we were not here to validate the claims of our antediluvian patriarks in Genesis from Adam to Noah, including Noah's Grandfather, Methuselah who was alleged to have died at the record age of 969.
So why is that? One would imagine that with the base of the population pyramid expanding exponentially, the apex should also be rising, but it's not! Is there some law of biological mortality that functions as a fundamental limit on longevity (what we have chosen to call the "Calment Limit" that will not likely be broken in our lifetimes). Probably not. But there is something in our genome that is shutting our fitness down leading to increasing frailty when our DNA runs out of things to do, particularly the non-coding portion (what used to be called "junk DNA, before we knew better) . When the Darwinian Force of Evolution ceases to operate on an individual's longevity phenotype, the force of entropy (and without the correct number of Tana Leaves) takes charge (tilts in its favor), and we sink into a muck of pure protoplasm (to be consumed by our friendly microbiome), as prisoners of a decrepit body that ceases to obey our commands, even if our brains are still functional and our minds are not yet senile.
Ordinary people know that our good men (and women) in white coats (physicians who have undergone a decade or more of training and have more decades of clinical practice) are not magicians. No one routinely performs miracles (except for charlatans and homeopaths) when patients get really, really old. Nobody would want to suffer at the end of their lives in chronic pain while on a ventilator and they can hardly move, let alone know what's going on in the outside world around them (hence the medical chart designation DNR [Do Not Resuscitate]). No one wants to be permanently confined to bed or a wheel chair or become simultaneously blind and/or deaf. Furthermore, no one would want to swap places with the average supercentenarian that we have visited in person (See the 100's of supercentenarian photos in the gallery of the Supercentenarian Section of our GRG.ORG website.) I don't know if there's a term for "Put me in a medically-induced coma for the next 20 years until somebody figures how to fix/repair/cure what's wrong with me," but in the mean time, keep me well hydrated with proper nutrition, prevent muscle-wasting (sarcopenia), and avoid the onset of skin lesions due to pressure sores (decubitus ulcers). This challenge is essentially beyond the state of the art, except for those in a Persistent Vegetative State (PVS) or an ordinary deep coma.
Average people would prefer to die in the middle of the night in their sleep. This assumes that their remaining family (loved ones) have access to your Last Will and Testament (the decedent), life insurance policies, the data to create an Obituary if your passing were to attract media attention by a newspaper reporter or two, and your wishes for burial/cremation and funeral services (open casket or closed, etc.). There may be other things that your survivors may need to protect your legacy against malicious gossip in a tabloid newspaper.
Therefore, if we were to "fast reverse" a non-existent video tape by a 100,000 years to the time of our (illiterate) ancestors and attempt to reconstruct their "magical thinking regarding death, they probably realized that they were special (the only group of tribal primates who appreciated that no matter what they did, they would die if they managed to live long enough). This is something that present-day theologians euphemistically call "The Human Condition." As much as they may have wished to continue living, we speculate that they recognized this relentless inevitability about death, and they had to resign themselves to that reality by constructing rituals around it. By the way, even though average life expectancy was around 20 years during these prehistoric paleolithic times, there were plenty of people who lived into their 50's, 60's, 70's, and 80's. These folk became the tribal elders who passed on knowledge of survival techniques (designing and using tools and weapons, like spears, not clubs, how to hunt as a team, how to build a fire to stay warm in Winter and/or cook raw meat to make it more digestible/palatable, and most importantly where to move next when a particular location was hunted out). This is consistent with the idea that our H. sapiens species nearly became extinct several times, as did our competitors The Neanderthals (despite some mild inbreeding) some 15,000 years ago, probably due to numerous wars over scarce resources and/or adverse environmental effects, such as plague/pestilence, drought, floods, and so on (i.e., the four horsemen of the apocalypse). Maybe 30,000 years ago, humans domesticated wolves into a new breed of canines. These hounds were helpful for our joint survival, not as pets per se, but as guard dogs and hunters. They woke us up when a pack of wild animals entered our caves during the night with aim of eating us alive.
Though humans must have made the empirical observation that death was inevitable, they surely made a large number of herbal and other interventions, but to no avail. Death was a standard, universal event whose occurrence was directly proportional to chronological age. They must have also made the observation around this time that there was a cause-and-effect relation between copulation with females and their subsequent pregnancy nine months later. This probably led to the idea of marriage ceremonies and monogamy (although polygamy may have preceded) rather than random copulation), since that way, fathers of a defined family unit increased the likelihood that their first-born sons would stay around to protect them when they got old. In exchange, the father (and mother) could take on the role of grandparenting while the parents were preoccupied with the essential function of hunter/gathering. This idea recurs in more modern times under the rubric of "primogeniture" in which any land assets or real estate that you inherited from your own father for the purpose of agriculture (for which you have legal title or ownership) or those that you may have accumulated during your own lifetime would become available to your first-born son upon your death. This likely led to the idea of a "Will" that named your sons as Executors ... "Being of sound mind and in the presence of these witness, I hereby bequeath the following..." Remember the seemingly contradictory Shakespearian quote, "The King is dead, long live the King."
This presages "thanatology" or what to do about the dead once they have expired. (At UCLA we have an "Office of Decedent Affairs" hidden in the Anatomical Pathology Section of the David Geffen School of Medicine.)
The first thing to do is to recognize that "doing nothing" doesn't work well (especially in the absence of refrigeration). A rotten corpse quickly starts to stink. So we have to invent a new industry of mortuary sciences: (1) Bury the corpse six feet under in a special location called a "cemetery," and then hire a stone mason to carve a head stone, so that you can revisit your dearly departed at a future time with flowers. For this purpose, it would have been valuable to have already invented money (in the form of coins) to allow economic transactions that could be recorded in a written form (hence the invention of writing). If you were sufficiently wealthy, you could even build a family mausoleum on the same property. The alleged sacredness of human body tissues by religious authorities prevented the dissection of dead bodies or routine autopsies for teaching doctors the cause(s) of death for a period of many centuries. If you were poor, you might place the bones of your relative in a stone ossuary box, which would consume considerably less real estate, a practice common at ~0 AD; or (2) Cremation evolved in parallel if real estate were really scarce. The Greek practice of placing two coins under the eye-lids before lighting the pyle, so that the departed could pay the boat man to help them cross to the opposite shore of the River Styx, a curious variation on the mythology of the time, but hardly different from Egyptian mummification of people and cats. Remember that Aristotle believed that the convolutions in the brain served the function of cooling the blood that was first created in heart and magically disappeared at the extremities. This is not an unreasonable hypothesis for a philosopher sitting at his arm chair, but Aristotle was the first zoologist and the first botanist, not just the first logician, so we had a right to expect more. The scientific method of empirical observation followed by rejection of inconsistent hypotheses did not become standard until Galileo's time, many centuries later.
The second thing to do is to invent religion (pantheism), as a means to explain why we were inflicted with death in the first place (original sin). (There are creation myths in every culture [x].) Otherwise, we might look foolish in the eyes of our curious children. Prof. Richard Dawkins "Theory of Agency" explains beautifully how the idea of gods (polytheism) and then one God (Monotheism) evolved fit the bill [x]. First, we need a sacred set of fables (a bible). Next, we would need to create a place for the gods to live (Mt. Olympus, Heaven, Paradise), so that they can their conduct business, which includes sticking their noses in our affairs with miracles, rainbows, and so forth. Next, we need to build churches, cathedrals, synagogues, and mosques, so ordinary folk have a place to go at least once a week (the Sabbath) to discover God's intentions and other arcane divine wisdom. Finally, we need to train a group of clergy, folk who can serve as interlocutors, so they can teach the ordinary illiterate masses who don't speak or read Latin what God wants them to do (messiahs, prophets, saints, popes, cardinals, bishops, priests, nuns, ministers, deacons, vicars, rabbis, imams, etc.). Although Western civilization is normally thought to begin with Greeks, the Egyptians before them had very clear ideas about how their citizens should lead the good life, so as to be eligible for making it to their idea of heaven. Their Kings (Pharaohs), however, caused an entire civilization to willingly participate in their shared fantasy for several millennia at the time of the construction of the pyramids, the tombs at Thebes, and advanced mummification techniques that included a tool to extract the brain from the skull through the nose and throwing the brain tissue away lest it contaminate the rest of the corpse. The brain was hardly important compared with the heart that was carefully preserved in a jar sealed with paraphin and placed next to the sarcophricus. All this was done without the slightest idea of critical thinking. How come the Egyptian physicians never had examples of brain-injury survivors (with hemorrhagic strokes with contralateral paralysis) who could then have yielded information about how the brain really functioned? (Sigh!)
The next thing to do is to encourage art consistent with local religious beliefs. So, we get liturgical painting, sculpture (gargoyles), instrumental and choral music, songs, hymns, dance, poetry, theater, and literature. In particular, we need writers of "just so" stories that serve to warn us against interfering (or tampering) with the natural order (since the clergy already own this turf). We prefer to describe those writers who compose cautionary tales as apologists for the status quo.
Another thing to do while you're at it, is to create distractions for the masses, so that they don't spend a lot of time perseverating over the unpleasant idea of their own mortality. A good bet might be sports (Olympic Games, soccer (football), American-style football, basketball, baseball, ice hockey, lacrosse, rugby, cricket, tennis, golf, boxing, wrestling, karate, archery, bowling, squash, volley ball, badminton, ping-pong, hand ball, polo, snow skiing, ice skating, etc. (If you lived in Rome at the time, a visit to the Coliseum might be in order to watch gladiators kill each other). In addition to professional sports you might want to include casino gambling, which distracts a significant proportion of the population (slot machines, dice [craps], roulette, baccarat, poker, 21, horse racing, sports-book, etc.). Other forms of entertainment include drinking at a bar until dead drunk, after which you get kicked out by the rules of the establishment, lest you get a DUI while driving home. Clubbing, dancing till dawn. Attending rock concerts. Getting high on street drugs. And so on. Don't forget IMAX movies with Dolby Surround Sound, HD TV, radio, and tabloid newspapers and magazines with the latest celebrity gossip, cooking, hunting, fishing, whale watching, etc.
For all of the items mentioned above to play well together in our culture, we need something called "multiple lock-in phenomena." This phenomenon explains why when you flip a coin and decide to drive on right of a two-lane road, that your steering wheel winds up on the left. Conversely, if you chose to drive on the left, your steering wheel winds up on the right. Mutatis mutandis for traffic signals and road signs. Our attitude toward our discovery of mortality is at a very high level, like the coin flip. It dictates many of our decisions in our world view thousands of years later. After the dominos have settled, it would be extremely difficult without a rigorous legal separation of church and state, to prevent an absolutist evangelical religious order from taking over your life and creating a governmental theocracy (like those that will stone you to death or burn you at the stake for apostasy). Each religion treats the problem of theodicy differently. Many are fatalistic; no matter what happens your destiny is sealed. Others assume that if things go wrong, it must be your fault, and this is God's way of punishing you. Not all religious orders profess compassion as does Buddhism. Some will send you to Hell for disobedience, while others will send you Paradise with ~40 virgins for committing a suicide bombing against the evil infidels.
So we wind up with society that is controlled by a complex web of presuppositions that aging is a relentless, inevitable process that terminates in our death. Furthermore, we must avoid thinking about it, except for an occasional visit to a funeral home and cemetery when somebody we know actually dies.
But what if this rationalization were wrong? What if a more correct model were one of "no interventions in aging are possible yet."? The status quo argument would be, "If man were meant to fly, God would have given him wings." or a warning around the year 1900 that "No heavier than air machine could ever fly." Yet a century later in 2000, our children take this extraordinary accomplishment for granted. How could the American bicycle makers (the Wright Brothers) at Kitty Hawk, NC have failed? Well Virginia, they failed for several days in a row until the wind conditions were just right. Indeed, visionaries in many countries hoped to imitate the seemingly effortless ability of birds to fly for hundreds of years without success, starting with Leonardo's amazing engineering design for a helicopter. Indeed, today's first-class passengers expect to fly anywhere in the world regardless of weather conditions in shirt-sleeve comfort while sipping champagne and watching a movie.
Sometime around 1970, we landed on the moon, but for whatever reasons we lost our momentum, and Mars still eludes us. It's not because NASA lacked the competence or the nerve. Many of us at CalTech/JPL in Pasadena - - where I worked at the time - - prepared detailed proposals for how to go to Mars and return safely to Earth. It seems that the US is still too self-involved in various budget battles to finance the three-year round trip for a team of four astronauts to set up shop on the surface for six months. They might return with the sad news that, although their visit was a once-in-a-lifetime adventure, the Red Planet is essentially uninhabitable by ordinary folk. But so what? There will always be new challenges for daring explorers. Biologists should begin by making serious and credible claims that for ordinary citizens extreme lifespan as well as healthspan is not only possible, but inevitable. It's only a matter a major influx of research funding and resources into longevity research as to how soon it happens.
Chapter 1 - - Genesis Revised (See Charter Section of GRG.ORG)
Chapter 2 - - History of Science, Technology, and Medicine
Even if I took a year off to write this chapter from scratch, I doubt that I could improve on the existing literature on this topic. All you have to do is to walk into any major naional-chain bookstore like Barnes and Nobel and you will find a collection of similar books...
Here are some examples:
1. Timeline of the History of Science and Technology by Isaac Asimov.
2. Medical History with an alpha for "a" in medical.
3. Watson, Ph.D. Double Helix 1969 and 2006 (Vintage Books; Random House; New York)
4. COSMOS on Fox-TV
5. Alan Lightman, The Discoveries: Great Breakthroughs in 20th Century Science.
Nevertheless, I would like to explore my personal journey in terms of who influenced my
thinking about human discovery and invention in approximately chronological order:
1. Promethian Phase [2 - 1] MYA (millions of years ago) Control of fire for both warmth in
Winter and light in the darkness. Darkness must have been a particularly frightening time for
humans when we arrived on the sounds about 200 KYA, since that's when packs of wild
nocturnal carnivorous predators roamed the same territory, such as wolves or hiennas (not the
laughing type). Hiennas, by the way, have very sharp teeth and a pack of hiennas can take down
much larger animals, even isolated lions or elephants. It is likely that isolated humans were no
exception, and that's why humans who did survive probably lived in tribes.
2. Tower of Babel Phase (Linguistic Competence [200 - 100] KYA and not just cries, grunts, or
clicks). Teaching somebody how to manufacture spears and then how to throw them in the
context of hunting where the target is profoundly unwilling to stand still while you threw it
would not be trivial even in the context of abstract spoken language and almost impossible
without it. Written language would come much later when the accounts arrived.
3. Hunter Phase (Sharp-tipped throwing spears are much better than clubs.)
4. Gatherer Phase (Distinguishing edibles [from poisonous plants] like nuts, fruits, vegetables,
and medicinal herbs.)
5. Adam (inventor of God or God(s) = Pantheism).
6. Eve (inventor of fire for cooking raw meat, so as to make their calories contained in meat more
digestible).
A Brief History of Western Civilization
Remembering the problem of the Sorcerer's Apprentice, a complete understanding is very important, while a partial understanding is perilous.
If you read three major national newspapers such as The Los Angeles Times, The New York Times, or The Wall Street Journal, as I do, cover-to-cover every day for a week, you will have consumed more information than an average 17th-Century citizen would have in an entire lifetime! That's a lot of (digital) data, but it's nothing compared to what is on the immediate horizon. By comparison, from the beginnings of civilization ~10,000 years ago to the year 2003, all of humankind generated a grand total of 5 EB (Exa Bytes) of digital information. An Exa Byte is one quintillion Bytes or 1,000,000,000 GB (that's 1 followed by 18 zeros). But from 2003 through 2010, we created 5 EB of digital information every two days. By next year (2013), we will be producing 5 EB every 10 minutes. How much information is this? The 2010 total of 912 EB is the equivalent of 18x the amount of information contained in all the books ever written [on paper, parchment, or stone tablets]. This means that the world is not just changing quantitatively, it's changing qualitatively. The change is not just accelerating -- the rate of the acceleration of change is itself accelerating! [1]
Peter H. Diamandis and Steven Kotler, Abundance: The Future is Better Than You Think(2012).
If Moore's Law holds true for the next 20 years, as I expect it will (the cost of computing comes down systematically as the density of electronic circuits increases exponentially every 18 months) then the cost of a CPU chip with sensor(s) and telemetry circuits will cost less than US$1.00. That means that every single car, appliance, piece of furniture, and even clothing/shoes in your home will be "intelligent" (connected to the cloud [Internet] with a fully recorded life history of everything that has ever happened to it since it was manufactured in a factory), as it will be cheap enough and trivial to do so. The implications of this new world with an audit trail of everything that happens and ubiquitous personal home robots everywhere will be hard to comprehend. But let's try.
Maps Are Key to Knowledge
A historical map of the world as of 450 BCE was shown by Herodotus, the first true
historian...
This world map in its day was quite accurate. But not all historical maps were so accurate. For
example, the "Island of California" refers to a long-held European misconception, dating from
the 16th century, that California was not part of mainland North America but rather a large island
separated from the continent by a strait now known instead as the "Gulf of California." As stated
in Wikipedia, one of the most famous cartographic errors in history was propagated on
many maps during the 17th- and 18th-Centuries, despite contradictory evidence from various
explorers. The legend was initially infused with the idea that California was a terrestrial paradise,
like the Garden of Eden or Atlantis.
It was a shame that none of the indiginous (illiterate) Carribean Indians that Christopher Columbus met on his various voyages had a map or their neighboring islands. So, as a result, Columbus never set foot on Mexico (or anywhere on North America) during his lifetime.
I. Nine Cultural Revolutions in the Self-Image of Human Beings
1. The Aristotelean Revolution
The world is a very large spheroid, not, according to an ancient Hindu Myth, a flat plate held up by a turtle and four elephants:
2. The Copernican Revolution (Nicholas Copernicus; a Heliocentric Model; not a Ptolmeic Model)
The Earth spins on its own axis and revolves around the Sun (along with other planets). Galileo helped to prove this empirically with his invention of the telescope.
3. The Newtonian Revolution
Sir Isaac Newton of Cambridge/London: Calculus, Light/Optics, and Laws of Motion.
4. The Darwinian Revolution (Charles Darwin)
All animals and plants, including humans, descend from a common ancestor by means of a simple evolutionary mechanism called "natural selection" or "survival of the fittest."
5. The Pasteur Revolution (Louis Pasteur, Koch, and Jenner)
The Germ Theory of Disease. Bugs cause infection, not sin, as the Catholic Church once had us believe. Disease-causing pathogens are microbes (viruses, bacteria, fungi, rickettsia, helminthes, and other assorted parasites).
6. The Freudian Revolution (Sigmund Freud/Carl Jung)
The human mind is not fully rational, but subject to unconscious [even mutually antagonistic] drives. Three parts: (1) Id [Hunger, Thirst, Libido]; (2) Ego [will to power]; (3) Superego [accountability; responsibility for right/wrong behavior; sin/guilt; conscience).
7. The Simonian Revolution (Herbert Simon and Allen Newell of Carnegie-Mellon University)(1965)
Artificial Intelligence (AI) may someday be achieved by simulating human problem-solving processes on a computer (Expert Systems) (Marvin Minsky and John McCarthy: The jury is still out; Chess [IBM's Deep Blue] doesn't support this hypothesis; neither does "Watson" an IBM computer in the TV game show Jeopardy)(Robots: Isaac Asimov's Three Laws of Robotics and the problem of a disembodied intelligence [The Imitation Game and {Turing Test}; The Krell in Forbidden Planet]).
8. The Watsonian Revolution (James Watson of Watson and Crick)(2000)
With the sequencing of the human genome, we can now start to read the "Book of Life" (Francis Collins, J. Craig Venter, Eric Lander, and Leroy Hood). Synthetic Biology will be the major application of this knowledge that will someday lead to a cure for all chronic diseases, possibly through stem-cell therapy.
9. The Hawking Revolution (Stephen Hawking and the Multiverse)(2010)
There are many parallel universes constantly being spawned with their own Big Bangs; most do not support galaxies or light given the variable amounts of dark energy/matter in empty space. See Brian Greene on The Fabric of the Cosmos.
II. 50 Key Events in the History of Human Civilization
A. The Stone Age
1. Death. The discovery that aging occurs relentlessly for all members of one's tribe (and, by extension, the frightening contemplation of one's own demise). As a corollary, this incomprehensible prospect leads to the invention of religion [immortal god(s) who "made it so" that we shall perish, while they themselves don't die; and furthermore, they didn't bother to ask for our consent, except for providing us with a Prime Directive to "Go forth and multiply."] Respectful funeral ceremonies for burying the dead with things they cared about in life are established (otherwise, corpses begin to smell like putrid meat). Cannibalism is generally rejected as a survival strategy.
2. The ability to distinguish individuals of the same kind from another tribe who are friends and not foes. As a corollary, trading for food and trinkets is recognized as an acceptable survival strategy. Knowledge of the location of water becomes valuable during times of drought.
3. The invention of complex spoken language, to include "story telling" and a variety of Genesis myths to teach children who we are and where we came from.
4. The creation of tools (clubs, knives, axes, sharp throwing spears, walking sticks).
5. The discovery of fire and how to control it and use it for (1) heat [to keep warm in winter; (2) light to see in a dark cave [torches]; and (3) the cooking of raw meat [to increase the efficiency of protein absorption]. As a corollary, a gender-specific division of labor between males (hunters) and females (gatherers/cooks) increases the survival-prospects of the tribe. Distinguishing edible plants/nuts vs. poisonous plants {mushrooms} and medicinal herbs become important for women. Long before Homo sapiens (200 KYA), Homo erectus did some open fire cooking in caves 1.7 MYA in what is now called SOUTH AFRICA.
6. The invention of clothing sewn from hides using needle-and-thread to keep warm in winter and shoes to facilitate walking over long distances.
7. The discovery of a cause-and-effect relationship between fornication (sexual intercourse) and procreation (birth of a baby) [intercourse and birth are separated in time by approximately nine months]. As a corollary, the concept of a monogamous/polygamous family is established within the tribe with words for mother, father, son, daughter, brother, sister, aunt, uncle, niece, nephew [and by extension words for husband, wife, parent, child, grandparent, grandchild, sibling, ancestor, etc.] are incorporated into the native language. The notion of primogenitor is fashioned -- inheritance by the fist-born son of a married couple. The creation of professions: tribal elders/leaders, lawyers/judges (to resolve disputes), witch doctors, priests, midwives, fortune-tellers, soldiers/warriors.
8. The creation of music and instruments to play it; composers and musicians to play music.
9. The creation of jewelry (necklaces, bracelets, and rings), hair combs, cave ornaments, and decorative cosmetics (lipstick and face paint). (barbers, hair stylists); Pottery.
10. The creation of cave drawings (art) as a way to teach group-hunting to children as a survival strategy.
11. Canine breeding [wolves are domesticated and become dogs after ~10 generations; they are further specialized as hunting dogs (blood hounds and sight hounds) and low-maintenance security dogs (barking to wake you up in the event of danger, so you can sleep soundly without fear of being eaten by a predator during the night.]
12. Animal husbandry (chickens, ducks, pigs, cattle/oxen, cows [for milk], sheep [for wool], goats, horses, llamas, camels) and, as a corollary, dogs are bred for herding.
B. The Bronze Age
13. Agriculture (Irrigation) (baking bread) and by extension, solar observatories to know when to plant seed and when to harvest. Plow.
14. Domestication of cats (they prevent stored grain from being eaten by vermin).
15. Metallurgy: Towns and Villages are built (digging water wells and pumps, aqueducts for water distrigbution).
16. Windmills to grind grain to wheat.
C. The Iron Age
17. Blacksmiths make iron horseshoes, hammers, hatchets, and metal swords/sabers/shields, saddles with stirrups.
18. The wheel, and as a corollary, flat roads; wheel barrows, chariots, carriages, wagons (first civil engineering).
19.Architecture: Construction of cities (urban planning) with thousands of people and civic monuments/statues/sculpture with massive temples to the gods (clergy are needed for maintenance).
20. Money (coins, and by extension counterfeiting; government tax collectors; precious metals [gold and silver], salt and spices).
21. Writing (literacy, scribes, ink, papyrus, chiseling of stone tablets, head stones in a cemetery, an arithmetical number system for counting and settling debts); libraries of scrolls and illuminated manuscripts in monasteries … bound books; the printing press and movable type.
22. Maps (the Aztecs and Mayans didn't invent them [sigh]).
23. Mathematics (geometry; trigonometry; algebra; the digit zero as a place holder).
24. Bow and arrow; reflex bow, crossbow.
25. Dugouts, rafts, canoes, sailboats, multi-mast ships.
26. Alchemy --> Periodic Table of the Elements.
27. Gun Powder; canons, rifles, pistols, revolvers, machine guns.
28. Glass blowing, optics: spectacles, bifocals, telescopes, microscopes.
D. The Industrial Revolution
29. Steam engine (James Watt).
30. Railroad locomotive (steam --> diesel).
31. Radio (Ham Radio --> AM/FM --> CB Radio --> Satellite Radio)(Marconi).
32. Medicine: Anesthesia, Surgery, C-sections, Germ Theory of Disease, antibiotics, vaccines.
33. Electrification of cities: Power Distribution by DC --> AC (Tesla, Westinghouse).
34. Light bulb (Thomas Edison --> tungsten filament).
35. Telegraph (Morse) Telegrams, Teletype machines.
36. Telephone (Alexander Graham Bell) Cell Phone --> Smart Phone (six billion people have accounts out of ~nine billion people on Earth).
37. Phonograph (wax cylinder --> 78 rpm --> LP --> 33-1/3 rpm --> 45 rpm --> 8-track tape --> cassette tape --> Music CD --> digital download to iPod.
38. Movies (Silent, B&W Talkies, Color, 3-D Imax).
39. Steam ships (Fulton); Nuclear Submarines (Rickover).
40. Automobile (Ford Models A,T gasoline-powered internal combustion engine with 8 cylinders --> Google Automated Driving on freeways using GPS; Nevada will require red license plates for robotically-enabled cars).
41. Airplanes (Wright Brothers; Boeing 747; Concord). 200 years ago powered, heavier-than-air flight was thought to be an impossibility; 100 years ago, the Wright Brothers gave us a prototype (proof of concept with the correct wind conditions); 50 years ago, aircraft became indispensable.
42. Atomic Bomb (1945); Hydrogen bombs; nuclear power.
43. Rockets (USSR Sputnik (1957); US [NASA] Moon Landing (1969); JPL Missions to the outer planets).
44. Satellites (GPS [resolution = 0.5 meter; 1 microsecond response]; Hubble Space Telescope --> Webb Telescope).
45. TV (B&W; Color; flat-screen).
46. Video Recording (Beta Max, VHS, DVD, BlueRay).
Ref.: Andrew Shyrock and Daniel Lord Smail, Deep History: The Architecture of Past and Present (360 pages; University of California Press; November 2011)
.E. The Digital Information Age
47. Computers (IBM Mainframes, Cray Supercomputers, Time Sharing, Computer Graphics; PC's (Windows OS, Office Applications: Word, Excel, PowerPoint), Mac's, Cordless Mouse, BlueTooth) John von Neuman (Johnniac at RAND Corp.) stored programs, Software, Automata Theory, Alan Turing and the Turing Machine (Turing Test = "Imitation Game"), Emile Post (Post Correspondence Theorem), Claude Shannon (Information Theory); Norbert Weiner (Cybernetics), Alan Perlis (Algol), John Baccus (IBM/Fortran), Peter Naur (BNF), Noam Chomsky (Computational Linguistics/Transformational Grammar).
48. Digital Biology (Watson and Crick DNA) DIYBio Synthesis (Britten and Davidson)
49. The Internet: Vannever Bush, Douglas Engelbart, ("Augmenting Human Intellect"), J.C.R. Licklider (ARPA/IPTO), Ivan Sutherland, Lawrence Roberts, The ARPA Net. Vint Cerf (Google), The world wide web (www), browsers (Netscape, Internet Explorer, Firefox, Chrome) Hypertext markup language (html), XML, Search Engines (Yahoo, Google; {Encyclopedia Britannica --> Microsoft Encarta on CD-ROM --> Wikipedia}), Social Media {Twitter, MySpace, Facebook}.
50. Artificial Intelligence (Deep Blue for Chess; Watson for Jeopardy … Watson for each person; Industrial Robots, Personal Household Robots [General Factotum]). Automatic simultaneous translation of foreign languages to and from English. Herbert Simon, Allen Newell, Marvin Minsky, John McCarthy, Arthur Samuel. Soon, teleprompters will no longer needed, as all text will be displayed in real time on your contact lenses. At a medical workstation in your bathroom, an AI Med System will analyze samples of your breath and bodily fluids {blood, tears, sweat, saliva, urine, and feces} along with your vital signs {temp, RR, Pulse, BP, EKG} in real time and provide you with immediate feedback on any significant change in your health status.
F. Thirty Years in the Future
51. The Singularity (Ray Kurzweil, based on Moore's Law)
52. Biological Immortality.
G. The Systematic North-Western Trajectory of Modern Civilization {excluding China}
1. Central Africa near Ethiopia (200 KYA) (Abstract Language; Stone-Age Tools)
2. Thebes (Egyptian Nile River Valley with Pyramids/Sphinx) (2000 BCE) (Seti, Rameses the Great)
3. Athens (300 BCE) (Socrates, Plato, Thucyddies, Herodotus, Euripides, Sophocles, Aeschylus, Aristophenes, Homer, Pythagorus, Euclid, Hippocrates, Aristotle, Alexander the Great)
4. Alexandria (30 BCE) (Babylon, Persia) (Cleopatra, Julius Caesar)
5. Constantinople (1 AD) (Turkey/Arabia)(Galen)
6. Rome (300 AD)(Emperor Augustine)
7. Florence (1400 AD)(Leonardo da Vinci, Michaelangelo, Ghiberiti, Botticelli, Donatellie, Galileo)
8. Venice (1500 AD) (Dodge)
9. Madrid (1600 AD) (Queen Isabella [1451 - 1504])
10. Paris (1700 AD) (Emperor Napoleon [1769-1821]; Louis Pasteur [1822--1895])
11. London (1800 AD) (Sir Isaac Newton, Charles Darwin)
12. New York City (1900 AD) (Bos/Wash: Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Washington, D.C., Atlanta, Miami)
13. Los Angeles (2000 AD) (San/San: San Diego, Irvine, Los Angeles, Santa Barbara, San Jose, San Francisco, Berkeley, Davis, Sacramento)
Recent References on Paleontology, Archeology, and Anthropology
1. Ian Tattersall, Masters of the Planet (Macmillan, 266 pages; $26.00).
Neanderthals perished 25 KYA, and so Homo sapiens became the last hominids standing. Nevertheless, due to interbreeding, some of their DNA survives in our own genomes.
2. Chris Stringer, Lone Survivors (Times Books, 320 pages; $28.00).
3.Brian Switak, Written in Stone: Evolution, the Fossil Record, and Our Place in Nature (Paperback; 320 pages; Bellevue Literary Press; 2010; $11.73 on Amazon.com).
Switak explains that "all life forms on the Earth have not progressed through evolution to end up with Homo sapiens becoming the highest such life form; rather, evolution has produced a wildly branching tree of life' with no predetermined path or endpoint."
4. Emma Maris, The Rambunctious Garden (224 pages; Bloomsbury; August 2011; $16.50 on Amazon.com).
A good conservationist should not strive to maintain an ecological balance' among species; Nature has no such need. A jungle is not a zoo. Conservations would only meddle if they tried to establish their own personal notion of a balance. If Nature could, she would merely laugh at our conceited attempt at stewardship over the fiction of a pristine wilderness'.
5. Michael Ruse, The Philosophy of Human Evolution (Cambridge Introductions to Philosophy and Biology) (Paperback; 282 pages; Cambridge University Press; February 2012; $26.99 on Amazon.com).
__________________________________________________________ _III. Memory
Five different types of memory serve to enhance our species' evolutionary progress (Richard Dawkins; Oxford University)
1. DNA; our human genome (3.1 Giga Base Pairs; ~25 K genes)(speciation took place 200 KYA [thousand years ago] with mutations for a large brain [Broca's Area and Wernike's Areas] and an adipose thumb that gave rise to language and tool using, respectively [fire for warmth and cooking of meat, clothing]. Weapons for hunting in ancestral hunter/gatherer stage.
2. Epigenetics (scattered methyl groups on DNA and acetyl groups on histones, which are influenced by the environment, determine gene expression)(identical twins reared apart have greater phenotypic divergence over time more than identical [congenic] twins reared together).
3. The human Immune System (the ability to distinguish self from non-self at the tissue level)
4. The human Brain (neural pathways and synapses for short-term and long-term memory)
5. Culture (Oral and Written Recorded History) ~8,000 years ago; agriculture/animal husbandry (Egyptian Hieroglyphics and The Rosetta Stone [in three different languages])
IV. Five Branches of Philosophy
Philosophy seeks to answer at least three fundamental questions. In plain English, they are
1. Who am I?
2. Where am I?
3. Where am I going?
Surrogate questions are
1. How does the brain work?
2. Why do we get old and die?
1. Metaphysics
a. Ontology (Theory of Reality)
The Mind/Body Problem (Three Hypotheses: Materialism, Dualism, Solipsism)
Materialism: Self awareness and consciousness are emergent properties of the complexity of brain architecture shared to some extent with other mammals and to a lesser extent with all biological creatures.
(1) Sentience (Sensory Capacity)
(2) Sapience (Tropism; Rationality)
(3) Instrumentality (A Disembodied Mind possessing no Motor Functions cannot serve the purpose of solving the Mind/Body Problem.)
b. Teleology (Theory of Intentionality, Purposeful Actions, Free-Will vs. Fate [Karma]) Autonomy (Independent Agency, cosmogony, will, drive = Conation)
c. Cosmology (Theory of Creation [Cosmogony]; The Big Bang Theory with continuing expansion accelerating due to dark energy/dark matter)
d. Existentialism (Absurdity of reality and Despair)(Satre, Camus, Heidegger, Kierkegaard)
2. Epistemology (Theory of knowledge)
"When a tree falls in the forest and there's nobody around to hear it, did it make a sound?"
What constitutes evidence for an uncertain hypothesis or cause and effect?
Qualia (Intrinsic properties [mass, momentum, shape] vs. epiphenomena [like color, texture, warmth which are in the eyes of the beholder {perceiver}])
3. Ethics (Theory of Right and Wrong)
a. Deontology (Duty, Altruism, Philanthropy): The ends do not justify the means (Behavior Optimality with all actions being subject to ethical constraints) (deception/mendacity/prevarication);
b. The Ten Commandments (Old Testament)
c. The Golden Rule [Jesus]: Do unto others have you would have them do unto you;
d. Negative Golden Rule [Confucius]: Do not do unto others that which you believe they do not wish to have done unto them;
e. Four Cardinal Virtues [Greek]:(1) Justice; (2) Wisdom (Prudence); (3) Courage; and (4) Beauty;
Justice is "the having and doing of that which is one's own." Plato's Republic
f. Sin (Cardinal vs. Venal)(Felony vs. Misdemeanor)/Guilt/Confession/Repentance
g. Definition of Happiness and the Good Life
(1) In your choice of a profession, strive for excellence (e.g., a cook who prepares delectable dishes has achieved excellence.)
(2) Hedonism (maximize pleasure, luxury, sybarites)(e.g., Hugh Heffner's Playboy Philosophy)
(3) Epicureanism (collector of fine art)
4. Aesthetics (Theory of Beauty; Art [paintings, sculpture, music, literature (prose {short stories, novels}/poetry {lyrical/rhyming, narrative/non-rhyming, figures of speech: alliteration, metaphor, simile, tone color, onomatopoeia}, theater: opera, plays])
5. Logic
a. Inductive Logic (The Laplace Sunrise Problem)
b. Deductive Logic (Dialectics)
(1) Symbolic Logic (Propositional Calculus; truth tables)
(a) Tautology (proposition is always true)
(b) Contradiction (proposition is never true)
(2) First-Order Predicate Calculus (Existential and Universal Quantification)
Example: Syllogisms
All men are mortal.
Socrates is a man.
Therefore, Socrates is mortal.
(3) Modal Logic (it is possible that... rhombus or vertical-diamond operator)
(4) The Situation Calculus (time embedded in "s")
(5) Mathematical Logic (Russell Paradox; Godel's Incompleteness Theorem; Post Correspondence Theorem)
(6) Logical Positivism -- The Vienna Circle (Alfred J. Ayer; Ludwig Wittgenstein)
c. Rhetoric
The art of persuasion; argumentation; sophistry, dialectics
Short Table of Classical Fallacies (Examples:
(1) "Begging the Question" demonstrates a conclusion by means of premises that assume that conclusion.
Example:
Argument: Billy always tells the truth, I know this because he told me so.
Problem: Billy may be lying. (Also called Petitio Principii);
(2) Argumentum ad hominum,
(3) Non sequitur: incorrectly assumes one thing is the cause of another.
Example:
Argument: I hear the rain falling outside my window; therefore, the sun is not shining.
Problem: The conclusion is false because the sun can shine even while it is raining.
(4) Special Cases: post hoc ergo propter hoc: believing that temporal succession implies a causality.
Example:>
Argument: After Billy was vaccinated he developed autism; therefore, the vaccine caused his autism.
Problem: This does not provide any evidence that the vaccine was the cause. The characteristics of autism may generally become noticeable at the age just following the typical age children receive vaccinations.
Sophistry; marketing/advertising (manipulating the gullible into making you rich while you sleep"... 1-800- ... Call Now!")
d. Magical Thinking and Superstitions
As Sir Arthur Clarke, who died in March of 2009, has said, "Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic." Our use of reason has served to safeguard us against religious fundamentalists and charlatans (mountbanks) who would profit from concealing the truth. Yet today, we have an epidemic of irrational thought running rampant in our society (new-age mystics, astrologers (zodiac, horoscopy, "What's your sign"), Tarot-card readers, palmists (chiromancy), graphologists, crystal balls readers, people who will read your aura or tea leaves, speak-in-tongues, [glossolalia], and what have you). I assert that irrational thought is not harmless: alchemy, phrenology, Ouija Boards, claims of UFO abductions by aliens in the night, crop circles, dowsing, the Loch Ness Monster, Big Foot (Sasquatch), Abominable Snowman (Yeti) [cryptozoology, chimera/theriantropism {Anubis, centaur, griffin, minotary, satyre, dagon, epimetheus, sphinx, pegasus, phoenix, basilisk cockatrice, unicorn, gorgon, hydra, cerabus, harpy, moloch, hippogriff, dipsas, bucentaur, pan, lamia, devil (Lucifer, Beelzebub, Satan), incubus, succubus, siren, mermaid, triton, Cyclops, ogre}], ghosts, witches, warlocks, goblins, elves, gnomes, sprites, dwarfs, Leprechaun, sylph, cherub, angel, archangel, Tinker Bell, Thumbelina, Vampires (Vlad the Impaler, Count Dracula [garlic, crosses, mirrors, wooden stakes] bats), Were Wolves/Were Tigers [full moon, silver bullets], Frankenstein (Dr. Victor? or Dr. Henry?), mummies [nine tana leaves], ghouls, zombies, the Easter Bunny, the Tooth Fairy, and Santa Clause, can be relatively harmless, but dangers occur when we teach Creationism to school children as part of the academic curriculum, flock to witch doctors or spiritualists to heal our loved ones, Voodoo (Haiti), Santeria (animal sacrifice), Macumba (Brazil), use homeopathy or moxibustion, call on psychic surgeons [Indonesia], employ a professional medium in a s‚ance to communicate with the dearly departed (our late relatives), perform ritual sacrifices of virginal maidens (the Aztecs in Mexico), burn heretics at the stake [the Spanish Inquisition], interrogate military prisoners using "extreme rendition" employing forms of torture like "water boarding," it can profoundly undermine the ethical basis for Western Civilization. Unsound beliefs in pseudoscience like Telepathy (mind reading), Precognition (forecasting the future), Clairvoyance (Extra Sensory Perception [ESP]), Psychokinesis (bending spoons or stopping/starting clocks without touching them), or other forms of parapsychological intervention [J. B. Rhine of Duke University], such as remote group prayer for infertile women to get pregnant at a higher rate than normal all lead down a blind alley.
__________________________________________________________ _______Here are five of the most well-known discredited substances in history [1]:
1. Phlogiston -- In 1667, German alchemist Johann Joachim Becher identified Phlogiston as the essence of fire. It was ostensibly contained within all combustible substances.
2. Miasma -- The Greeks were convinced that Malaria was spread by bad air. Medieval Europe burned incense to prevent the spread of this disease.
3. Orgone -- In the 1940's, psychologist Wilheim Reich posited that Orgone composed the sexual energy could be collected for medicinal purposes.
4. Ether -- Descartes asserted that light and gravity traveled through Luminiferous Ether that was more subtle than air as a transparent medium necessary for the propagation of light.
5. Alkahest -- In the 16th century Swiss alchemist Paracelsus discovered Alkahest, the "universal solvent," the active ingredient in the "Philosopher's Stone." (See Harry Potter )
Ref.: 1. Jeremy and Claire Weiss, "Best Discredited Substances," Wired Magazine, Vol. 19, No. 12, p. 44 (December 2011).
____________________________________________ __________e. Mathematics (Axiomatic Pure vs. Applied Mathematics)
(1) Euclidean Geometry/Spherical Non-Euclidian Geometry/Topology/Trigonometry
(2) Calculus (differential, integral, [partial] Differential Equations [linear/non-linear], Measure Theory [based on integration by distributions rather than simple variables])
(3) Algebra (matrix algebra, set theory, group theory, ring theory, field theory, homology theory) (4) Probability Theory (Markov Chains; Stochastic Processes) a. Mathematical Statistics b. Gaussian Distribution (Bell-Shaped Curve or Normal Distribution; mean [mu], standard deviation [sigma], variance [sigma squared]) c. Game Theory (Two-person vs. n-person zero-sum games; Broward's Fixed Point Theorem in topology)
(5) Cryptography (coding and code-breaking, steganography)
(6) Graph Theory (Nodes and Arcs; Critical Path Analysis; PERT [Program Evaluation and Review Technique])
(7) Occam's Razor - When alternative explanations or models of the world have equal power of explanation or prediction, choose the simpler one.
V. Theology
Comparative Religion:
Piety (Those certain that God(s) is/are known to exist)
A. Polytheists: Pagans (Stonehenge), Babylonians, Hitites, Egyptians, Greeks, Romans, Norse, American Indian, Mayan, Aztecs, Incas
Given the uncertainty in the historical record (and contradictory New Testament accounts),
scholars now believe that Jesus of Nazareth was not actually born on December 25th of the year
0 AD (Anno Domini), but sometime earlier between March and June in one of the years between
6, 5, or 4 BCE (Before the Common Era). In pagan traditions predating Christianity, the Winter
Solstice was a very important time for celebration -- in the hopes that the days would again get
longer (in the Northern Hemisphere) and the warmth of Spring would ultimately return. Thus,
many gods and goddesses were presumed to have been born on or around this time. For
example, the following births occurred in December (Julian Calendar): The Egyptian God Horus,
Mithras (the Unconquered Sun of Persia), Amaterasu (The Japanese Goddess of the Sun), Rhea
(who gave birth to Saturn, son of the Father of Time), Quetzalcoatl and Lucina ("Little Light"),
Lucia (Saint or Goddess of Light, who is honored from Italy to Sweden, crowned with candles to
carry us through the darkness), Sarasvati, the Hindu Goddess of Knowledge and the Queen of
Heaven. Do you see a pattern here? It would have been trivial to establish the birth of Jesus as
December 25th in the absence of an official birth certificate and thereby obviate the need for
more than one celebration at Yule-Tide among Christian practitioners.
C. Agnostics (Unsure of the existence of God; He/he may or may not exist, but I need
to hedge my bets on the grounds that there is insufficient evidence.);
D. Atheists (Sure that God doesn't exist) [modern atheists include, Richard Dawkins,
Daniel Dennett, Sam Harris, and Christopher Hitchens {recently died of throat cancer, but didn't
change his position at the last moment}The Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse.]
Ref.: * His Holiness, The Dalai Lama, Beyond Religion: Ethics for a Whole World
(Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, New York; Dec. 6, 2011; 208 pages, $16.32 on Amazon.com).
{Secular ethics means that you don't need religion to lead a happy and ethical life. But the
difference between ethics and religion is like the difference between tea and water. You clearly
need water to live, but if you have an ethics grounded in religion, it is more like tea, which
includes water, aromatic tea leaves, spices, sugar, and, in Tibet, a pinch of salt. Prayer, although
important, cannot match the achievements of modern science, including physics, cosmology,
biology, psychology, and neuroscience. At the genome level, the differences between different
races is less significant than the difference between different individuals, so all humans are as
one regardless of race. Buddhism has a history of adapting to changing times and cultures and
today, a new American hybrid of Buddhism is blossoming.} There are many Creation Myths (Genesis)/Flood (rainbow)/Babel (language)/Messiah
(Christ/Immaculate Conception/Miracles {Lazarus}/Transformation of Bread and Wine
recapitulated during Holy Communion/Resurrection)(Baptism: Limbo/Purgatory/
Salvation/Heaven/{Hell}) (See Joseph Campbell's various Comparative Mythology books);
Unique Libraries Destroyed by Barbarians:
1. Alexandria, EGYPT (272 CE and again in 391 CE)
2. Timbuktu in MALI (2012)
3. Thanatology (Eschatology or "last rights")(Recognition of mortality => sacrifices,
ceremonial funerals, autopsy)
Primogeniture [inheritance by first-born {legitimate} sons])
Methods for disposing of human remains (corpses) throughout history
Do nothing (side effect: bacterial decomposition with subsequent foul odor);
Allow the body to be eaten by vultures, jackals, or other carrion scavengers;
Mummify (remove internal organs, including the brain through the nose, and wrap the body
with spices and gauze);
Cremation (burn the corpse on a funerary pyre with two coins covering the eyes to pay the
boatman, as you seek to cross the River Styx);
Bury in a coffin in a grave six-feet-under with a head-stone marker in a cemetery (reserved
real estate by consensus) or in a mausoleum [sarcophagus/crypt/inscribed stone ossuary box to
hold bones of the deceased] above ground or in a cave [catacombs]; bury at sea.
Morticians/undertakers perform miraculous improvements in the appearance of the decedent with
cosmetics even after an autopsy; they use formalin (formaldehyde) as an embalming fluid to
preserve the body for an open-casket funeral service that may require a week or more to
schedule, so the remains will be well preserved;
Donate the body to science for dissection by medical students in a course in human anatomy
(In Europe, dissection was once declared illegal, an invasion of a sacred body);
Donate/sell body parts to private companies (surgeons in training);
Plasticize (Gunther von Hagens, M.D., German Pathologist with a traveling show);
Cryonic suspension (in liquid nitrogen) [Alcor, Inc. of Scottsdale, AZ].
4. Pantheism vs. Montheism: Deism (passive God, creator), Theism (an active God who
answers prayers and performs miracles)
5. Theodicy (The Problem of Evil)(Book of Job)
6. Apostasy (conversion to another religion) in Islam, apostasy is punishable by death
(stoning).
7. Quasi-Religious Fraternal Organizations/Civic Groups:
1. Knight's of the Round Table moved to Malta
2. Masons (Lodges)
3. Knights of Columbus
4. Kiwanas Clubs
5. Rotary Clubs International
6. Lion's Clubs
7. Optimists Clubs (Real estate agents typically network for lunch once a week.)
VI. Science 1. Physics
a. Four Forces: (i) Gravity; (ii) Electro/Magnetism; (iii) Weak Force; and (iv) Strong Force
b. Kinetic Energy/Potential Energy
c. Thermodynamics
(i) First Law (Enthalpy)
(ii) Second Law (Entropy)(entropy always increases in a closed system)(Information
Theory)
c. Astronomy (Dark Matter/Dark Energy/Hyperinflation)(Drake Equation)
d. Particle Physics (Quarks) String Theory/"Brane" Theory
2. Chemistry
a. Alchemy
b. Inorganic Chemistry (Periodic Table of the Elements)
c. Organic (Carbon) Chemistry {Created by German Scientists}
3. Biology
Three components of the Definition of Life:
(i) Autosynthesis (reproduction)
(ii) Autocatalysis (metabolism)
(iii) Tropisms (phototropism, geotropism, hydrotropism, electrotopism)
Prokaryotes [naked DNA] vs. Eukaryotes [nucleus with chromosomal DNA plus cytoplasmic
mitochondria with mtDNA])(The Watson and Crick (Linear) Central Dogma
DNA, mRNA, protein (structural and enzymatic);
feedback loops and gene expression control; message splicing, post translational modification)
(1) Botany (plants)
(2) Zoology (animals)
(3) Parasitology (Viruses, Bacteria, Yeast, Fungi, Rickettsia, nematode worms, etc.)
(3) Evolutionary Biology
(4) Systems Biology (cluster genes into vast networks)
Preformation Theory Regression of homunculus(es) over "n" generations from Adam and Eve
up to the present day
4. Computer Science
(a) Algorithms (a step-by-step procedure guaranteed to terminate in a finite number of steps)
(Turing Machines Busy Beaver/Halting Problems)
(b) Heuristics (Rule of Thumb; Guideline, not guaranteed to produce a result)
(i) Means/Ends Analysis [difference reduction; Monkey and Bananas Problem]
(ii) Hill Climbing
(iii) Trouble Shooting [a partition into a set of mutually exclusive and jointly exhaustive
subproblems; non-linear problems cannot be partitioned; you push-down here and it pops-up
there; Divide and Conquer; trouble shooting; puzzle solving; e.g. turn on switch but light bulb
doesn't light: Is the bulb burned out?, the wire unpluged?, the lamp broken?, No power in the
wall outlet?]
(iv) Avoid premature closure on a single hypothesis without definitively ruling out alternatives or
you may go down a garden path.
5. Linguistics
a. Field Linguistics
b. Computational Linguistics (models of a natural language)(The Imitation Game Turing Test)
Semiotics (Five components of a linguistic description)(Charles Peirce)
(1) Phonology (phonemes phonetics)
(2) Morphology (inflections "ing" = present participle; "ly" = adverb; "ment" in French;
exceptions "vitement" doesn't exist as a word in French. Why not?)
(3) Syntax
(a) Core Grammar (nouns, verbs, prepositions, etc.
Baccus Naur Form (BNF)
6. Psychology
a. Cognitive
b. Clinical (Diagnosis, Prognosis, Therapy, Endpoints)
VII. Professions VIII. Communicating Our Legacy to Future Generations
A. Categories of Knowledge:
1. Books and Periodicals (newspapers, magazines, Radio, TV, Movies on film, tape, or DVD's,
Music CD's, Internet Blogs)
2. Proprietary Product Brochures and Specification Catalogs published by commercial companies
3. Patents (www.pto.gov) (intellectual property); Requirements:
a. Original (novelty)
b. Non-obvious (non-trivial extension to existing state-of-the-art)
c. Potentially Reducible to Practice
4. Classified information (Confidential, Secret, Top Secret, TS/SI/TK, Q-clearance, Unique
Compartmented Data with a "Need to Know"; Not everyone signs the register!) There was nearly
a military coup within the Pakistani government following the violation of sovereignty in
connection with the assassination of Osama Ben Laden and the unmanned drone strikes targeting
militants in the unchartered tribal territories).
B. New Knowledge is Growing Exponentially
1. Scientific Medical Literature in Peer-Reviewed Journals
2. Moore's Law of Computer Chip Density
3. "The Singularity" (Ray Kurzweil) (Date = ~2038)
C. Worry in a Straight Line:
1. Identify what we already know [Google; Wikipedia; Old Encyclopedias {Britannica, Encarta},
Dictionaries (OED, Webster), Atlases, Thesaurus, CIA World Fact Book, Almanac, Book of
World Records] and how to exploit it (it is known, it's just that you personally don't know it)
2. Estimate what we need to know that we don't know yet (Former US Secretary of Defense
Donald Rumsfeld explained to us that there are "known unknowns" and "unknown unknowns")
Of the former, figure out
(a) What is unknowable, in principle (and hopefully ignore it)
(b) What is, in fact, knowable; but in what period of time and at what cost (affordability)?
(c) Create a strategy, a plan, and a budget for learning the needed knowledge subject to the
specified time and financial constraints.
IX. Extinction of the Human Race Are Homo sapiens on a slippery slope toward species extinction? And if we are, when might
this happen? Furthermore, if we had sufficient warning, would we be able to do anything about it
beforehand?
The Biblical "Four Horseman of the Apocalypse" are still alive-and-well (as they were
revealed in the Book of Revelation {war, pestilence, famine, and death}), but they are probably
not the surest path to the complete extinction of our species. Humans have overcome a wide
variety of repetitive catastrophic natural disasters over the last 200,000 years (when we first
evolved to became the dominant hominid/primate species on the planet). We have survived
earthquakes, hurricanes, cyclones, tornadoes, typhoons, tsunamis, volcanos, meteor showers,
sun-spot cycles, floods, droughts, ice ages, lighning-induced forest fires, variation in ocean
currents (El Nino, El Nina), plagues of locus, and a variety of pathogenic
microorganisms/parasites, including (in no special order) anthrax, bubonic plague (or the black
death [Yersinia Pestis]), Spanish Flu, bird (avian) flu, swine flu, small pox, measles (causing
shingles), mumps, German Measles, Pertusis (whooping cough), Scarlet Fever, Polio (infantile
paralysis), Hansen's Disease (leprosy), malaria, Ebola (hemorrhagic fever), syphilis, gonorrhea,
AIDS/HIV, HPV (venereal warts), Hepatitis A,B,C, rabies, trichinosis, yeast infections, fungus,
Giardia Lamblia (protazoan in feces), Trypanosoma cruzi (a flagellate protozoan that causes
Chagas Disease), Typhoid Fever, Amoebic Dysentery, Yellow Fever, Rickettsial Fever, sleeping
sickness, bed bugs, ticks (Lyme Disease), fleas, mites, lice, etc., but nothing has stopped us from
propagating ourselves for very long -- in recent centuries, only plague and flu have resulted in a
noticeable but temporary down-tick in our global population statistics that are otherwise
increasing exponentially now at seven billion and counting. Humans have continued to flourish
on every continent despite any sort of adversity that Nature has thrown our way, at least so far.
Yet there are a set of potential extinction events that we really need to worry about (20 of
them are cited below in approximately chronological order):
1. Accidental Nuclear Exchange (Yield >=100 MT [Mega Tons])
Given that both Russian and US missiles are still on hair-trigger alert (a Mutually
Assured Destruction [MAD] strategy left over from the days of the Cold War that ended quite
some time ago with the collapse of the USSR), multiple hydrogen bombs (# > 100) could result
in a "Nuclear Winter." Under this scenario, dust in the high atmosphere, could extinguish all
vegetation on the surface of the planet due to a block of sunlight for more than a decade. Deep
ocean species like tube worms fed by funnels of hot water containing sulfur may survive, but all
land mammals could be obliterated for lack of food (sunlight is on the critical path to plant
photosynthesis, which are eaten by herbivores, which are eaten by carnivores, which are eaten by
omnivores (like us) (as you rise up in the classical food chain/web).
Ref.: Watch the 90-minute documentary film "Count Down to Zero" (2010) which
contains the following quote by Dr. J. Robert Oppenheimer, Chief Scientist of the Manhattan
Project in New Mexico, at the time of the first test of the Trinity atomic bomb... "We knew the
world would not be the same. a few people laughed, a few people cried, most people were silent.
I remembered the line from the Hindu Scripture, the Bhagavad-Gita... Now, I am become Death, the destroyer of worlds,' Vishnu, the muti-armed Hindu God."
The documentary explains the precarious state of our modern nuclear arsenal with many
examples of accidents that were first classified "Top secret" before they became known to the
public.
The most likely immediate nuclear scenario, however, is of a small number of dirty
bombs (containing radioactive cobalt, cesium, etc.) exploded by terrorists within major cities.
This probably won't obliterate our species, but it would be a non-trivial set back to lose Hong
Kong, Tokyo, Moscow, Tel Aviv, Rome, Berlin, Madrid, Paris, London, Toronto, Boston, New
York, Washington, D.C., Miami, Chicago, Houston, Dallas, Seattle, San Francisco, Los Angeles,
San Diego, and Sydney all at the same time.
2. Biological Warfare
A single terrorist attack using a sophisticated form of (chemical or) biological warfare
(WMD's) - a weaponized viral or bacterial microorganism that spreads in air by sneezing and
kills infected people with ~100 percent fatality in approximately three days. (There is a
Hollywood movie scenario that suggests this event would be survivable see the film
Contagion.)
3. Cyber Warfare
A terrorist cyber-attack transforming all worldwide Internet-connected computers/servers
into "dead bricks" (These "blue screens of death" would be survivable.)
4. Detonation of Electro Magnetic Pulse (EMP) Weapons in the Upper Atmopsphere
Such weapons could interrupt worldwide communication, cell phone, and GPS systems for
a long period. (This problem is survivable.)
5. Human Population Exceeds Earth's Carrying Capacity (> 10 billion people in < 100 years)
Over-population will lead to global conflict over increasingly scarce fresh water supplies,
assuming that sea-water desalination is not economically feasible in the time frame we would
need. (This unsustainability problem is survivable for the species, however; since the excess
population would suffer famine and die of starvation, but not everyone would die.)
Ref.: Prof. Stephen Emmott of Oxford University, UK"Ten Billion" (referring to the
number of humans soon to be on our planet)
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2012/07/18/countdown-to-ten-billion_(n_1684762.html
Species on Earth are becoming extinct at a rate 1,000x faster than the normal evolutionary
rate, as we consume our way through our planet's resources by clear cutting forests. Our air
mileage figures are the most shameful: By 1960, we had flown 100 billion miles; by 1980, we
had flown 1,000 billion miles; today, we jet 6,000 billion air miles per year. The resultant climate
change will leave us literally high and dry in a dystopia (recall the movie Blade Runner with a
one percent of the City of Los Angeles's wealthy citizens living behind a gated community and
the rest living in extreme poverty. Even a potential large impact is survivable providing we detect it's presence and calculate
its ETA with a lead time of [10 - 20] weeks, allowing for a controlled deflection of the trajectory
(SciFi Movie = Meteor). (BTW, we should not try to blow-up the block of ice/rock into small
harmless pieces with a nuclear detonation in outer spaace; this could be foolishly
counterproductive by creating a shower of multiple concurrent impacts A gentle nudge of the
"big guy" would be sufficient for gravity to allow for a near miss, and we will have successfully
"dodged a bullet.")
7. Climate Change and/or Destruction of the Ozone Layer
Global warming due to elevated CO2 concentrations by burning wood/coal/oil/gasoline
for the last 100 years, and a resulting "green house" effect, assuming we don't convert the
atmosphere into a Venus-like green-house "heat trap." Sea levels rise from a few feet to a few
yards as all the ice in Antarctica slowly melts. (This problem is disruptive but survivable,
however, by using geo-engineering with space- based mirrors or chemical sequestering methods.)
The protective ozone layers over the North and South Poles modulate the amount of
dangerous radiation that the Sun regularly puts out to which we might be exposed if the upper
atmosphere ozone holes were to expand indefinitely. Another possibility is the start of a new ice age in which the surface layer of all the world's
oceans would freeze solid. Although this is likewise not a welcome prospect, it is survivable.
Refs.: Climate Central, Global Weirdness: Severe Storms, Deadly Heat Waves, Relentless
Drought, Rising Seas, and the Weather of the Future (214 pages; Pantheon Books, New York;
2012).
Mathew E. Kahn, Climatopolis: How Our Cities Will Thrive in the Hotter Future (Basic Books,
New York; 2010).
8. Bobbing of the Sun within the Plane of our Galaxy
As our solar system floats (or bobs) up and down above and below the plane of the Milky
Way (our Sun is located in one of the outer arms), the Earth moves in an broadly-curved
sinusoidal trajectory with respect to our disk of stars (with a period of ~62 million years) thereby
exposing us to variable amounts of radiation depending on whether we are above or below our
asymmetric plate (with North/South faces) at any particular time. This variation would be a
function of other active processes that are presumably going on within our Local Cluster as well
as the orientation of our galaxy in 3-D space while it is also moving away from the former center
of the universe (the Big Bang 13.7 billion years ago), but subject to local turbulent gravitational
effects from near-by galaxies. The galactic disk takes about 200 million years to rotate once; its
center is assumed to contain a large black hole. The Earth may be exposed to a radiation shock
wave from the rotation of the galaxy in the intergalactic medium as it passes from below to above
and then blow again, and this may account for periodic global life-extinction events (punctuated
evolution) on the Earth. Synchronizing these cycles to find out which are causal is not easy. It is
clear that, if the rate of bobbing changed capriciously, this could result in a catastrophic
consequences for the human race. 9. Extinguishing the Geomagnetic Field that Shields the Earth from Solar Radiation The Magnetic North/South Poles periodically swaps direction (flips with an oscillation
cycle of ~4,000 years). This is evidenced by ocean floor sampling revealing a stripped pattern of
directional iron compounds. During the time of the reversal, the Earth's protective magnetic field
might be annihilated (This problem is survivable if it takes place gradually enough or in a
magnetic quadrapole rather than simple-dipole manner.) 10. Lunar Detachment
The Moon escapes from the gravity field of the Earth, altering the normal tidal pattern in
our oceans Our Moon, Luna, with a dead core, is gradually drifting farther and farther away
from the Earth (already only one side faces us and the phases of the moon from "full" to "new"
are not wellsynchronized to the months of the year resulting in what is called a "blue moon.").
The Moon stabilizes the rotational speed of the Earth (giving us a 24-hour day, that at one time
was a lot shorter [~10 hours]) and therefore our terrestrial weather/climate. (Later on, the Moon
could spin back-in much closer and thus break up and turn into a collection of rocks like the rings
of Saturn, but that will be about a billion years from now, and the Earth is likely to be
uninhabitable by then anyway; so we'll have to enjoy this spectacle from a distance if we're still
around ourselves. Another theory says that the Moon will fly away into space if it escapes Earth's
gravity; by then all oceanic tides (neap tides, etc.) will be determined exclusively by the the
Sun's gravity, assuming there still are oceans). (This problem is survivable).
11. The Diameter of the Sun Expands on Its Way to Becoming a Red Dwarf
In 200 million years, our Sun will expand to include the orbit of Mercury in its natural
evolution as a star of its size (not sufficient for a supernova) that consumes all its hydrogen fuel
(having converted it to helium by fusion). Anyone still on Earth will fry, after the oceans
evaporate and then boil away. The sand (Earth's crust) will be sterilized and then take on the
texture of molten lava. Long before then, however, we should make a mandatory visit to
Europa, where temperatures will be more hospitable, there would be a watery ocean > 100 miles
deep, but, sadly, the atmosphere would not be breathable [likewise for Io, Callisto, and
Gannymede].) Nevertheless, we would get a good up-close view of Jupiter.
12. Imminent Galactic Collision
In about 400 million years, the Nebula-in-Andromeda is expected to collide with our own
Milky Way galaxy. Due to the large empty space between stars, there may not be mutual star
collisions and the two spinning wheels may pass through each other, but gravitational turbulence
may cause different stars to be pulled hither and yon. (This event is survivable, assuming that the
naked Earth is not cast off into deep space by a gravitational sling shot and we weren't able to
find a near-by star to hook up with at the proper distance.) 13. Rogue Stars We are about to be "rained on" by stars that have been thrown our way by a smaller
galaxy that the Milky Way already collided with quite some time ago. This collision shot the
small galaxy's stars toward the far side of our galaxy, but gradually the gravitation of our galaxy
captured the stars and drew them back toward us. We may be located right where these stars are,
and they may be due to hit our solar system. 14. Rogue Black Holes Black holes have been detected moving around in odd locations, so there's always the
chance one could drift into our vicinity from an unexpected direction, which could reduce our
warning, not that we could do anything about it other than watch it from somewhere else! There
are also rogue planets shooting around out there -- planets that have been torn loose from their
original stars and could come careening in from any direction. Fortunately, the odds of one of
these hitting us is low, and we wouldn't have the same action-at-a-distance threat that a black
hole (even a micro black hole) would.
15. Atmospheric Gas Composition
The relative concentration of nitrogen/oxygen/carbon-dioxide/argon/neon/xenon in our
atmosphere is in a delicate balance. Too much (or too little) oxygen could be horrific.
16. Sun Spot Cycle Anomaly (Coronal Mass Ejection or a Hugh Gamma Ray Burst)
The 11-year sunspot cycle could be disrupted. Just one big solar flare (like a belch in the
liquid hydrogen as it bubbled up to the surface) might be very dangerous. Who knows what that
would entail for all the species on our planet?
17. Change in the Earth's Obliquity, Radial Distance to the Sun, or Orbital Eccentricity
The spinning of the Earth on its axis makes an angle with respect to the plane of the ecliptic
called its obliquity or "angle of declination." It could tilt beyond 22.45 degrees. There is also a
wobble or precession associated with the spinning (like a top) which explains why our current
North Star (Polaris) has changed over the centuries. An increased angle would make our Winter
and Summer seasons far more extreme. A flattening of the angle toward zero would eliminate the
seasons, making the Earth look more like Jupiter with large horizontal weather bands and long
lasting (centuries) cyclones. (Note: Magnetic North pole is not the same as Due-North due to the
presence of iron ore in a big lump and the dynamo effect of a rotating spheroid.) An increase in
our eccentricity would change the number of days per year from ~365 (an ellipse is not a circle ).
A change in the radial distance from the Sun ([91 - 94] million miles or ~8 light seconds) would
not only change the number of days per year but have other temperature effects depending on
whether it was an increase of decrease.. Milankovitch Cycles can be used to determine the
periodicity of ice ages by means of mathematical formulas. 18. Disruption of Techtonic Plates An abrupt positive feedback loop in the internal temperature dynamics of the Earth's
crust, mantle, and liquid core could be catastrophic. Techtonic plates could be disrupted and all
the known continents could be swallowed up in a short time with no land to replace them
whatsoever! Remember Pangaea was a single supercontinent 300 million years ago (it had a
number of different predecessors before it, each with exotic names) that gave rise to today's
seven continents {North/South America, Asia, Europe Africa, Australia, and Antarctica}
separated by oceans that we know and love (these continents drift with respect to each other at
the same rate as our finger nails grow, so it's hard (without GPS) to track their motion precisely
(centimeters per year), but who is to say that this rate will remain constant, and it couldn't speed
up 100,000x abruptly). 19. Invasion by Aliens from Mars or Wherever
After an invasion by an intelligent but nasty species of aliens from outer space (like The
Borg of Star Trek) who mean to do us harm, "all bets are off." This scenario is rather fanciful.
Nevertheless, Dr. Stephen Hawking warned humanity that "we should not shout out when we're
walking in the jungle." Dr. Carl Sagan already did the equivalent of shouting with our
gratuitous Voyager disk. It instructs whomever finds it exactly where to locate us (SciFi Movies:
War of he Worlds, The Day the Earth Stood Still, Forbidden Planet, 2001: A Space Odyssey,
Prometheus [July 2012]). (The SETI project is still listening for extraterrestrial signals, but
hasn't found anything so far, despite decades of scanning.) 20. The Big Rip In about 100 billion years, according to our current cosmological dogma, our universe
will have continued to expand to the point that at first only the stars in the Milky Way will be
visible, making the night sky look pretty dark, and then all stars will be extinguished (so it's
really, really dark). If all local stars are extinguished then the terms "day" and "night" can no
longer be distinguished; finally, all molecules/atoms/protons/neutrons are annihilated (the "Big
Rip"), decomposing into bosons/quarks. Subsequently, the "strong force" becomes irreversibly
damaged, "All bets are off." "Exit stage left." through a "worm hole" to another more
hospitable universe within the ostensible "multiverse," assuming this is at all possible. Calling
all physicists... please rescue us from this pernicious scenario. Conclusion for Section IX: As far as our human species is concerned, we've moved a long way forward. Civilization
has progressed from the days of our hunter/gatherer ancestral tribes. Just a few thousand years
ago (2000 BCE), we concluded that there were only four elements {Earth, Fire, Air, and Water}
and only four body fluids that needed to be kept in balance for good health {blood, phlem, black
bile, and yellow bile}. {The words "sanguine" and "phlegmatic" in our current language are
derived from this false model of physiology.} Note that none of these so-called elements is in
reality an element based on our current understanding of chemistry (The Periodic Table of the
Elements). Water is a compound; earth (dirt, beach sand) is a mixture; air is a mixture; and fire
(combustion) is an artifact of rapid oxidation {just like rust is an artifact of slow iron oxidation}.
But, we can't rest on our laurels, amused by the foolishness of our ancestors; we still have a long
way to go to make sense of the world, even though the 11-dimensional Brane/String Theory of
Everything (ToE) that integrates gravity with quantum mechanics with the four forces and the
standard Boson/Quark model of particles is close at hand. What is important is for us to understand how to reprogram (debug) the genetic code (the
DNA in our chromosomes contains 3.1 billion base pairs {A, G, T, and C}) without disrupting
the architecture of our human adult tissues. This is the next big challenge. Here's an update from Dr. Gunther Kletetschka... Part of my research has to do with the
extinction of large mammals due to a comet/asteroid that landed in Alberta, CANADA 12,800
years ago. We published our finding this year and last year in PNAS [5-8]. I believe that we have
solid evidence that all mega mammals went extinct along with nearly all human beings. Just because we've been the dominant species on the planet for the last 10K years or so,
given the advent of civilization, agriculture, written language, science and technology (the
Internet), why do we imagine that we have the right to be called the dominant (alpha) species,
and that "this was our destiny all along"? It might have been due to chance. And sure enough, as
we look at the data, it was due to chance. About 99.9 percent of all species that ever appeared on Earth are now extinct. Except
perhaps for deep, dark ocean tube-worm locations with hot sulfur pouring out of deep cracks and
boiling the cold salt-water around them, the Earth has never been a Garden of Eden for anyone
with its volcanoes, tornadoes/cyclones, hurricanes/typhoons, forest fires, earthquakes, tsunamis,
floods/droughts, and ice ages. Human stone age hunter/gatherers were no exception for the
majority of our time here on Earth (~200K years), and we ourselves (Homo sapiens) almost
became extinct several times in competition with other forms of life throughout our history. We
were never the superior, top-predator species compared with most carnivores, until we learned
how to breed dogs (domesticated wolves) to help us survive the dangers of becoming prey, ~50
KYA. Tool using and the ability to walk long distances (miles) and throw sharp spears at a
distance really made a big difference, especially when we used language to coordinate our
hunting expeditions in teams and teach the next generation of human progeny how to make stone
tools, sew clothing from skins, and build fires to cook meat and keep warm in Winter. Along the
way, we learned that death appears to be inevitable -- what we now call "The Human
Condition." So where's the luck/randomness? There were at least five major catastrophic near-extinction
events in the last few hundred million years on our friendly Earth that helped shape the evolution
of Homo sapiens on this planet, ultimately giving us licence to take over the whole place (every
continent and even parts of the Moon). Here they are in chronological order:
1. "The Great Dying" (Toxic volcanoes split the single continental land mass [Pangea ] in half
with its green land-based vegetation (that raised the level of oxygen in the atmosphere) and either
cooked or froze everything around one island of land sitting above a single very-large ocean, 252
MYA [1].
2. The Dinosaur Extinction (including top predator T. Rex) 66 MYA secondary to a large
asteroid impact that cooked the global environment (except for a few mouse-type mammals
hiding in boroughs under ground) [2].
3. An ice age. Primates now live in trees or walk on two legs as needed. But temperatures got
uncomfortably cold [starting at ~120 KYA] and those primates North of the Congo River
suffered (Chimps and hominids like us that weren't aggressive didn't survive; warlike behavior
was needed, since resources became scarce). On the other hand, the bonobos South of the
Congo-barrier in Africa survived in a milder climate and their personality never needed to be so
aggressive as to go to war to survive, and this psychologically dark trait was not selected for as
adaptive [3].
4. The eruption of the Toba Volcano in Indonesia (70 KYA) left the global skies dark (without
sunlight) for nearly ten years, so the human population without food dwindled down to ~2,000
folk in Africa (at the hairy edge of extinction) [4]. The proof is that more than 99 percent of our
genomes are almost identical, which is a lot more than most other primate species, leading to the
conclusion that we migrated around the Earth from one mid-African starting point that consisted
of a relatively small tribe of "survivors." The illusion of profound phenotypic racial differences
(Caucasians, Blacks, Orientals, American Indians, etc.) is not so much in new gene networks but
in small SNP variations needed to adapt to the requirement for the right amount of Vitamin D
from sunlight and calibration of our mtDNA to maintain metabolic rates (we're warm-blooded
creatures with constant body temperatures, regardless of the external climate and different
weather patterns required different ATP/caloric maintenance) making our appearance to one
another superficially (cosmetically) different (skin color, hair texture, etc.), even though our
genomes tell the story of how we almost didn't make it at the time of this more recent
near-extinction event.
5. An asteroid that fell in Alberta, CANADA 12,800 years ago [5-8] killed all mega mammals
and most humans along with them.
So there you have it. We should count your blessings, not brag about your superiority, for
the next near-extinction event could be a full-extinction event and be just around the corner, So
we should get ready for one soon. And I don't mean plan an expedition to Mars to see if we can
terraform it to our purposes. I mean that we need to solve the "mortality problem," so we can live
long enough to figure out what to do with our precarious Earth environment, if it decides to
suddenly fail. Furthermore, our star, Sol, the sun, won't last forever either, but at least, for that,
we have a substantial grace period, as we discussed above. Refs.: 1. The Permian Triassic (P/Tr) extinction event, informally termed the "Great Dying,"
forming the boundary between the Permian and Triassic geologic periods, as well as the
Paleozoic and Mesozoic eras. This was the Earth's most severe known extinction event, with up
to 96 percent of all marine species and 70 percent of terrestrial vertebrate species becoming
extinct. 2. This event marked the end of the Cretaceous period and with it, the entire Mesozoic Era,
opening the Cenozoic Era, which continues today. 3. Ice Ages 4. The Toba Supereruption was a massive volcanic eruption that occurred [72K +/- 5 K] YA
at Mount Toba (Sumatra, INDONESIA). It is recognized as one of the Earth's largest known
eruptions. The related catastrophe hypothesis holds that this event caused a global volcanic
winter of [6 - - 10] years and possibly a 1,000-year-long cooling episode in Earth's climate. 5. Wittke James H., James C. Weaver, Ted E. Bunch, James P. Kennett, Douglas J. Kennett,
Andrew M. T. Moore, Gordon C. Hillman, Kenneth B. Tankersley, Albert C. Goodyear,
Christopher R. Moore, I. Randolph Daniel, Jr., Jack H. Ray, Neal H. Lopinot, David Ferraro,
Isabel Israde-Alc ntara, James L. Bischoff, Paul S. DeCarli, Robert E. Hermes, Johan B.
Kloosterman, Zsolt Revay, George A. Howard, David R. Kimbel, Gunther Kletetschka, Ladislav
Nabelek, Carl P. Lipo, Sachiko Sakai, Allen West, and Richard B. Firestone. (May 20 2013),
Evidence for deposition of 10 million tonnes of impact spherules across four continents 12,800
years ago, Source: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA,
Vol. 110, No. 23, pp. E2088-97 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1301760110 (June 4, 2013) PDF. 6. James H. Wittke, Ted E. Bunch, James P. Kennett, Douglas J. Kennett, Brendan J.
Culleton, Kenneth B. Tankersley, I. Randolph Daniel, J., Johan B. Kloosterman, Gunther
Kletetschka, Allen West Firestone, R.B., 2013. Reply to van Hoesel, et al., regarding
Impact-related YDB nanodiamonds from the Netherlands. Proceedings of the National Academy
of Sciences of the USA, accepted on August 8, 2013. 7. James H. Wittke, Ted E. Bunch, Kenneth B. Tankersley, I. Randolph Daniel, J., Johan B.
Kloosterman, Gunther Kletetschka, Allen West, Firestone, R.B., 2013. Reply to Ives et al.,
regarding the impact-related YDB layer at Chobot site, Alberta, CANADA. Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences of the USA, accepted on August 8, 2013. 8. Bunch, Ted E.; Hermes, Robert E.; Moore, Andrew M. T.; Kennett, Douglas J.; Weaver,
James C.; Wittke, James H.; DeCarli, Paul S.; Bischoff, James L.; Hillman, Gordon C.; Howard,
George A.; Kimbel, David R.; Kletetschka, Gunther; Lipo, Carl P.; Sakai, Sachiko; Revay, Zsolt;
West, Allen; Firestone, Richard B.; Kennett, James P. (July 10, 2012), Very high-temperature
impact melt products as evidence for cosmic airbursts and impacts 12,900 years ago,
Source: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the USA Vol. 109, No. 28, pp.
E1903-12 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1204453109, 2012, PDF Appendix A.6 Curriculum for a four-year BS Degree in Gerontology If I were the Chancellor of my own university and could dictate what my students should
study to gain a Bachelor of Science (BS) in Gerontology with the aim of getting an M.D. or a
Ph.D. in the future as a graduate degree, here's what I would propose that they study on the way
to winning their Nobel Prize in Physiology and Medicine... 1. a. Pure Mathematics (1 year Freshman): 1. b. Applied Mathematics (1/2 year Sophomore): 1. c. Probability and Statistics (1-1/2 years Junior): 1. d. Logic (1/2 year Junior): 2. Physics (2 years Freshman/Sophomore): 3. Chemistry (2 years Freshman/Sophomore): 4. Biology (4 years All years): 5. Medicine (4 years All years): 6. Gerontology (1/2 year Senior): 7. Psychology (1 year Senior): 8. Computer Science (1 year Junior): 9. Engineering (1/2 year Senior): 10. Economics (1/2 year Senior): 11. Philosophy (1 year Senior): 12. Linguistics (1 year Junior): 13. Humanities (1 year Senior): 14. Superstitions and Magical/Mystical Thinking (1/2 year Senior): Ref.: 1. Nine European scientists, who did a remarkable job of predicting the
future --
http://io9.com/5947687/nine-futurists-whose-centuries+old-predictions-were-ahead-of-their-time
s It's difficult to cover all the above topics in a narrow technological school like MIT or
CalTech, and that's why I believe one first needs to go to a comprehensive university with a Law
School, a Business School, a Medical School, an Engineering School, a Science School, a
Humanities School, and a School of Theology. But even then, you won't get the full coverage of
a Renaissance Man (Woman) (think Leonardo da Vinci). That's why one will still need to do
considerable independent study. You need to read Scientific American every month
cover-to-cover and read at least one book a month for ten years. Furthermore, if you don't know
mathematics, physics, chemistry, and biology at a significantly-professional level, it's pretentious
to try and argue against a true intellectual who has, in fact, paid their dues, just because it may be
intuitively pleasing to imagine that, by doing more of the same stuff that science is already doing,
we will achieve a "cure to aging in our lifetimes"; all we need to do is simply "throw money at
the problem" (even though that might help a lot in the short term). A simplistic approach may
not converge to a solution. (Think: "The War on Cancer," announced by then
President Nixon in the 1970's. Many scientists told him that it would be premature and went on
to tell him later, "I told you so.") Click for more.
Arithmetic, Number Theory {integers, rational, irrational, transcendental [pi = 3.1417...; e {Base
of Naperian Log} = 2.7...}] types of infinity}, Linear Algebra (Vectors and Matrices), Analysis:
Calculus [differential/integral/2nd-order DE's, partial derivatives, integration/measure theory],
Fractile Geometry (if you drill down deeper and deeper, the ragged edges of the sea shore still
look the same!); Analytic Geometry; Circle, Ellipse, Spiral, Lemniscate, Crescent, Gibbous;
Spline functions; Non-Euclidean Geometries; Graph Theory; PERT Charts with Critical Path
Algorithms; But not {Fermat's Last Theorem, Group Theory, Ring Theory, Domain Theory,
Homology Theory, or Topology [Genus 0 = sphere; Genus 1 = donut, Genus n >1 = manifold],
which are probably not needed, so far as I can tell; but I could be wrong.
It is assumed that students have already had elementary and intermediate algebra, Euclidean
Geometry (plane and solid), and trigonometry, as prerequisites in high school.
Optimization Theory (Linear Programing; Dynamic Programming [Richard Bellman, a true
genius, with whom I worked before he died of a brain tumor]; Game Theory [for zero-sum
2-person and n-person games] (John Nash/John von Neumann) Fuzzy Sets, Fuzzy Logic, Fuzzy
Control Theory (L. A. Zadeh); Graph Theory (Minimum Cost Trajectories)
Plausible or inductive Inference from soft evidence (The Laplace Sun-Rise Problem); Stochastic
Processes (Doob); Markov Chains and Markov Processes (even LeoTakash's skinny book on this
topic was scary tough.) Generating Pseudo random numbers, Monte Carlo Simulations,
Lyapunov Stability Analysis, Linear Regression of Spline Functions; Analysis of Variance
(ANOVA) {Kannisto Logistic Regression; Bonferroni Correction}
Syllogisms, Rules of Deductive Inference (Detachment), Propositional Calculus (Tautology,
Fact, Contradiction), Predicate Calculus (Quantificational Calculus), Relations (reflexive,
symmetric, transitive); Decidability, Completeness, Soundness (Russell/Whitehead;
Godel's/Church's Theorems)
Newtonian Kinematics, Dynamics, Thermodynamics, Optics; Photons, Nuclear: neutrinos,
quarks, heavy particles that make up atoms and elements, Plank's Constant; General and Special
Relativity, Quantum ElectroDynamics (QED), Heisenberg Uncertainty, Astronomy (Big Bang:
Energy, Dark Energy, Matter, Dark Matter, an 11-Dimensional string-theory universe), Geology
(Tectonic Plates/Continental Drift)
Inorganic and Organic Chemistry, leading to a strong subspecialty in Biochemistry (1 year), esp.
protein, DNA, and RNA folding.
Ecology, Darwinian Evolution, the "Genotype --> Phenotype mapping problem," Apoptosis,
Senescent Cells, Cell Cycle, Control of copy errors during mitosis by specific enzymes,
genomics, epigenetics, telomere/chromosomal biology, histology, bacteriology, virology,
fungology, parasitology, zoology, botany, gerontology, cancer [James D. Watson]
Human Anatomy, Physiology (with a strong emphasis on Neuroscience), Pathology (Genetics),
Pharmacology, Laboratory Medicine, OB/GYN, Pediatrics, Internal Medicine, Geriatrics,
Personal Genomics, Carcinogenesis, which is now understood to be the flip-side of aging.
Model Organisms; Human Life History; Demographics; Actuarial Science; Theory of Aging
Rational Thought/Cognitive Psychology (or modeling of the mind), Developmental Psychology
(Jean Piaget), Psychiatric Disorders (Sigmund Freud), Addiction, Memory encoding and
decoding at the molecular level, Theory of Agency (active animal predators or other humans
skilled at deception/duplicity/dissembling/lying/prevarication/cheating/stealing as a means to
exploit innocent others;
Think: Pinnochio on his way to school approached by a cat and a fox with the
proposition that they all sing "Hi Diddle De De, an Actor's Life for Me" on they're way to a life
of luxury, when infact all the children would turn into donkeys for a life of exploitation by their
new owners. Our current gambling casinos serve an identical purpose for today's adults [Richard
Dawkins].)
Theory of Computation (Automata Theory; Turing Machines); Post Production Rules; Markov
Algorithms; Artificial Intelligence (AI) {heruistics; voice recognition, robotics}, Programming
{Machine Code, Assembly Languages, Interpretive Languages (LISP); Compiler Languages
(FORTRANSIT, FORTRAN, ALGOL, JAVA)}, Operating Systems (UNIX, Windows);
Lambda Calculus (Recursion), Situation Calculus, Cryptography (Encryption/Decryption
Steganography), Information Theory (Claude Shannon), HTML (HyperText Markup Languages),
Search Engines (today's engines are ghastly compared with the designs of twenty years ago that
were not contaminated with commercial-messages listed first; e.g., FYI, when I type in the word
"cremation," I am not looking for the names and addresses of funeral directors in my
geographical area; but how would you know that unless I told you?)
Electrical [Control Theory (Fourrier and Laplace Transforms); Cybernetics (Norbert Weiner);
Bionics, Chip Design (Moore's Law), Mechanical, Chemical, and Civil Engineering (Roman
Engineers would be supremely proud to learn that some of their aqueducts are still standing in
the Paris area!), nanotechnology.
Fiscal and Monitory Policy; Price at intersection of supply and demand curves; Capitalism,
Socialism, Communism.
Metaphysics (Ontology; Cosmology; Teleology); Epistemology; Ethics (Theodicy); Aesthetics,
Rhetoric (Sophistry; Syllogisms; Fallacies), Logical Positivism; The Vienna Circle (Alfred
Ayre); The Mind/Body Problem (Materialism, Dualism, Solipsism); Overlapping Magesteria
(Omega 1 = Physical Objects that play out in a constant-time advance, silent, B&W, odorless,
tasteless movie; Omega 2 = Mental, Intellectual, Rational, Spiritual, Mathematical, variable
bi-directional time, in color and sound like dreams, but mostly like contingencies plans and
deliberate actions for how to escape from predators or how to prevent exploitation by members
of other human or primate tribes when seeking scarce resources
Computational Linguistics (surface structure vs. deep structure), Phonology, Lexicography,
Syntax (Parts of speech; Diagramming Parsing vs. Generative, Phrase Structure Grammar
[Backus-Naur Form], Transformational Grammar (Noam Chomsky), Semantics (Denotation vs.
Connotation), Pragmatics ("Tact" vs. "Mand"), Dialog, Speeches, Lyrics of Songs, Poetry
(narrative, lyrical -- Figures of Speech: {aliteration, metaphor, simile, tone color, onomatopoeia,
oxymoron, paraprosdokokians}), Plays (Tragedy, Comedy), Other Literature (Short Stories,
Novels, Sci-Fi [Sir Arthur Clarke, Prof. Isaac Asimov], Biographies, Hollywood Movies).
Required Poems:
1. The Raven by Edgar Alan Poe; 2. The Hollow Men by T.S. Elliot;
3. The One-Hoss Shay by Oliver Wendel Holmes;
Required Plays: 1. Hamlet; 2. Macbeth both by Shakespeare; The Great Books Series
from the University of Chicago;
Informational References: Dictionaries (Webster; OEM [300K words]); CIA Fact
Book; Almanacs
History of Science and Technology and the Scientific Method (Paradigm Shifts: Newton -->
Einstein), History of Medicine and Surgery (BTW, contrary to what one might think, this topic is
not taught in medical school where they teach you only what you need to know to do a residency
and get licensed, not the absurdly ludicrous mistakes of our pathetic predecessors).
Learn one foreign language from among {Chinese [Mandarin], Japanese, Korean, Russian,
German, Italian, French, or Spanish} as a second language, so you can read and speak it to a
native speaker.
Learn how to distinguish spoken accents (not taught in any formal school to my knowledge,
except in the Intelligence Community) from among: London (Cockney vs. Queen's), Irish,
Scottish, Australian, South African, Canadian, Bostonian, Queens New York, Southern, Texas,
Minnesota, etc. For extra credit, distinguish the native language of speakers of English from
Spain, Mexico, Cuba, France, Germany, Russia, China, etc. It took me three years to tell native
French speakers from Paris from those speakers who came from the South, like Marseilles. Dr.
Gregory House, M.D. is one of those rare individuals who can switch from his native British to
American English without detection!
Magic [Prestidigitation, Sorcery, witches/warlocks, spiritualists or professional mediums who
can communicate with our "dearly departed" {late, dead} relatives in a s‚ance],
Astrology/Horoscopy [What's your sign? Capricorn, etc.], Numerology,Tarot Cards, Graphology
[penmenship], UFO's, Area-51, alien abductions, phrenology [location of bumps on head],
palmistry [chiromancy], tea leaves, crystal balls, Ouija Boards, Glossolalia
[Speaking-in-tounges], Crop Circles, Dowsing [a forked rod or wooden stick to help dig a well
for water], Witch Doctors, Voodoo [Haiti], Macumba [Brazil], Santeria (animal sacrifice), Ritual
Human Sacrifice of young virgins/maidens [Myan and Aztecs of Mexico], Homeopathy,
Moxibustion, Acupuncture [China], Psychic Surgeons [Indonesia], Burning of
heretics at the stake or stoning them for apostasy [the Spanish Inquisition and other parts of
Europe led to highly creative forms of torture, like The Rack or the Iron Maiden {Steven Pinker;
Harvard; Steven Pincus; Harvard/Yale}], interrogation of military prisoners using
"water boarding" following "extreme rendition"; approved-use of such torture can profoundly
undermine the ethical basis for our Western Civilization, Remote group prayer for infertile
women, so that they can achieve a wanted pregnancy. Paranormal ESP (Psi) {(telepathy,
clairvoyance, precognition, psychokinesis [bend a spoon with your mind]}; J. B. Rhine), False
futurology (Nostradamus [1]), Assorted fantastical creatures: Big Foot [Sasquatch], Yeti
[Agbominable Snowmen], The Lock Ness Monster [Scotland], zombies, vampires (Count
Dracula, Vlad the Impaler [garlic, crosses, mirrors, wooden stakes, sun-light, bats]), werewolves
(silver bullets), weretigers [India], Mummies who come back to life whenever ignorant
archeologists disturb their ancient Egyptian tombs [tanna leaves]{Multi-Generational Curses}
[Pharohes: "Look upon my work and weep." {because you obviously could never achieve what I
did.}], Santa Claus, the Easter Bunny, the Tooth Fairy, Thumbelina, ghosts, goblins, gremlins,
gnomes, ghouls, elves, sprites, sylphs, deformed dwarfs, demons, leprechauns, Heaven/Hell
[Angels {arcangels with flaming swords, cupids/cherubs with tiny bow-and-arrows}, Devils:
Satin (Lucifer) [Beelzebub]), Incubi/Succubi, Cryptozoology, chimera/theriantropism {anubis,
centaur, griffin, minotar, satyre, dragon, sphinx, pegasus, phoenix, basilisk cockatrice, unicorn,
gorgon, hydra, cerabus, harpy, moloch, hippogriff, dipsas, bucentaur, pan, lamia, siren, mermaid,
triton, cyclops, ogres}]; tweets that go viral on cell phones showing cats that can play the piano
like Mozart, List, Chopin, etc., etc.) Have you heard he urban legend about the salamander that
was flushed down the toilet and a giant alligator showed up in the sewers three
months later. Maybe not, since many are too busy watching the "Housewives of Beverly Hills"
on the Bravo Channel. "The Theory of Agency" [No. 6 above] is needed to explain our
predilection toward adopting weird ideas without skepticism (or any critical thinking
whatsoever).